NODK:NASDAQNI Holdings, Inc. analysis
Data as of Sep 18, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $15.01
- Risk: medium
- 5/10Medium risk
Summary
At $15.01, NI Holdings, Inc. shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 2.3%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 43.0 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. Price has been bracketed by support at $14.84 and resistance at $16.17.
Valuation screens as overvalued: a P/E of 39.5 sits above the sector average of 15.8. Revenue is contracting at 7.7% on a 2.9% profit margin.
Risk scores 5 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 15.0%, a beta of 0.07 and a maximum drawdown of 15.0%, position sizing matters here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 3 out of 10.
Valuation screens as overvalued: a P/E of 39.5 sits above the sector average of 15.8. Revenue is contracting at 7.7% on a 2.9% profit margin.
Risk scores 5 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 15.0%, a beta of 0.07 and a maximum drawdown of 15.0%, position sizing matters here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 3 out of 10.
Top market events
- NI Holdings, Inc. Reports Results For Second Quarter Ended June 30, 2026. FARGO, N.D., Aug. 07, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE --...
- FARGO, N.D., Aug. 07, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- NI Holdings, Inc. NASDAQ: NODK announced today results for the quarter...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 14.13
- MACD momentum is positive
- Thin trading liquidity raises execution risk
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 39.5 versus sector average of 15.8
- Trading above the 200-day average of 14.13
- MACD momentum is positive
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 39.5 versus sector average of 15.8
- Revenue contracting at -7.7%
- Price-to-book of 1.23
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth-7.70%
Profit Margin2.93%
P/E Ratio39.5
ROE3.18%
ROA1.20%
Debt/Equity0.46
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$-32516000
Free Cash Flow$20.7M
Industry P/E15.8
Technical analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI43.0
Support$14.84
Resistance$16.17
MA 20$15.18
MA 50$15.42
MA 200$14.13
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.89
Valuation
Fair Value$14.90
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk assessment
Beta0.07
Volatility14.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.