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NODK:NASDAQNI Holdings, Inc. analysis

Data as of Sep 18, 2026 - not real-time

Latest price
$15.01
Risk: medium
5/10Medium risk

Summary

At $15.01, NI Holdings, Inc. shows no decisive moving-average alignment, leaving the trend neutral. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 2.3%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 43.0 (neutral) with MACD reading bullish. Price has been bracketed by support at $14.84 and resistance at $16.17.
Valuation screens as overvalued: a P/E of 39.5 sits above the sector average of 15.8. Revenue is contracting at 7.7% on a 2.9% profit margin.
Risk scores 5 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 15.0%, a beta of 0.07 and a maximum drawdown of 15.0%, position sizing matters here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 3 out of 10.

Top market events

  • NI Holdings, Inc. Reports Results For Second Quarter Ended June 30, 2026. FARGO, N.D., Aug. 07, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE --...
  • FARGO, N.D., Aug. 07, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- NI Holdings, Inc. NASDAQ: NODK announced today results for the quarter...

Market outlook

Short term

< 1 year

Neutral

Model confidence3/103 out of 10

Key factors

  • Trading above the 200-day average of 14.13
  • MACD momentum is positive
  • Thin trading liquidity raises execution risk

Medium term

1–3 years

Neutral

Model confidence2/102 out of 10

Key factors

  • P/E of 39.5 versus sector average of 15.8
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 14.13
  • MACD momentum is positive

Long term

> 3 years

Neutral

Model confidence3/103 out of 10

Key factors

  • P/E of 39.5 versus sector average of 15.8
  • Revenue contracting at -7.7%
  • Price-to-book of 1.23

Key metrics

Financial health

Revenue Growth-7.70%
Profit Margin2.93%
P/E Ratio39.5
ROE3.18%
ROA1.20%
Debt/Equity0.46
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$-32516000
Free Cash Flow$20.7M
Industry P/E15.8

Technical analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI43.0
Support$14.84
Resistance$16.17
MA 20$15.18
MA 50$15.42
MA 200$14.13
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.89

Valuation

Fair Value$14.90
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk assessment

Beta0.07
Volatility14.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.