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NOAH:NYSENoah Holdings Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$10.32

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Noah Holdings trades around $10.32, just above its computed support of $9.90, while the 20‑day SMA (≈$10.29) sits marginally below price, indicating a tight technical range. The 14‑day RSI is near 49, suggesting no clear overbought or oversold condition, but the MACD histogram remains negative, reinforcing a short‑term bearish bias. Volume has been stable, and the 30‑day volatility of roughly 26% points to a fairly active price swing.
On the fundamental side, the stock appears markedly undervalued – a trailing P/E of about 9 versus an industry average of 16.8 and a P/B of 0.49 highlight a discount to peers. Operating margins have surged to 37.8% after AI‑driven efficiency gains, and the company boasts a robust cash pile of $5.1 bn against minimal debt. A dividend yield of 5.6% with a payout ratio near 54% suggests sustainability, while AUM growth in overseas markets and a disciplined capital return program add upside potential.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and proximity to support level
  • Neutral RSI indicating limited upside momentum
  • Stable but modest trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued valuation metrics (P/E, P/B)
  • High dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Improved operating margin driven by AI integration

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash position and low debt
  • Continued AUM expansion in overseas markets
  • Ongoing capital return program and dividend consistency

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.80%
Profit Margin20.39%
P/E Ratio9.1
ROE5.28%
ROA4.40%
Debt/Equity0.53
P/B Ratio0.5
Industry P/E16.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI49.3
Support$9.90
Resistance$10.88
MA 20$10.29
MA 50$10.33
MA 200$11.02
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target Price$12.31
Upside/Downside19.31%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.61%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.99
Volatility25.73%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.