NOAH:NYSENoah Holdings Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
$10.32
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Noah Holdings trades around $10.32, just above its computed support of $9.90, while the 20‑day SMA (≈$10.29) sits marginally below price, indicating a tight technical range. The 14‑day RSI is near 49, suggesting no clear overbought or oversold condition, but the MACD histogram remains negative, reinforcing a short‑term bearish bias. Volume has been stable, and the 30‑day volatility of roughly 26% points to a fairly active price swing.
On the fundamental side, the stock appears markedly undervalued – a trailing P/E of about 9 versus an industry average of 16.8 and a P/B of 0.49 highlight a discount to peers. Operating margins have surged to 37.8% after AI‑driven efficiency gains, and the company boasts a robust cash pile of $5.1 bn against minimal debt. A dividend yield of 5.6% with a payout ratio near 54% suggests sustainability, while AUM growth in overseas markets and a disciplined capital return program add upside potential.
On the fundamental side, the stock appears markedly undervalued – a trailing P/E of about 9 versus an industry average of 16.8 and a P/B of 0.49 highlight a discount to peers. Operating margins have surged to 37.8% after AI‑driven efficiency gains, and the company boasts a robust cash pile of $5.1 bn against minimal debt. A dividend yield of 5.6% with a payout ratio near 54% suggests sustainability, while AUM growth in overseas markets and a disciplined capital return program add upside potential.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and proximity to support level
- Neutral RSI indicating limited upside momentum
- Stable but modest trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued valuation metrics (P/E, P/B)
- High dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Improved operating margin driven by AI integration
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong cash position and low debt
- Continued AUM expansion in overseas markets
- Ongoing capital return program and dividend consistency
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth1.80%
Profit Margin20.39%
P/E Ratio9.1
ROE5.28%
ROA4.40%
Debt/Equity0.53
P/B Ratio0.5
Industry P/E16.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI49.3
Support$9.90
Resistance$10.88
MA 20$10.29
MA 50$10.33
MA 200$11.02
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Target Price$12.31
Upside/Downside19.31%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield5.61%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.99
Volatility25.73%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.