NN:NASDAQNextNav Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time
$23.38
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
NextNav’s price is trading above its 20‑day simple moving average (SMA) and comfortably above the computed support level, indicating short‑term price strength.
However, the 30‑day volatility of over 110% and a beta near 1.5 point to pronounced market sensitivity, while an RSI of roughly 68 places the stock in an overbought zone that often precedes a corrective pull‑back.
Coupled with a negative earnings profile (trailing EPS below zero, negative gross and operating margins, and a max drawdown exceeding 35%), an extreme greed sentiment reading of 89.8, and regulatory headwinds highlighted in recent material news, the fundamentals suggest the current price may be stretched relative to intrinsic value.
However, the 30‑day volatility of over 110% and a beta near 1.5 point to pronounced market sensitivity, while an RSI of roughly 68 places the stock in an overbought zone that often precedes a corrective pull‑back.
Coupled with a negative earnings profile (trailing EPS below zero, negative gross and operating margins, and a max drawdown exceeding 35%), an extreme greed sentiment reading of 89.8, and regulatory headwinds highlighted in recent material news, the fundamentals suggest the current price may be stretched relative to intrinsic value.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- overbought technical indicators (RSI, MACD)
- high short‑term volatility and beta
- negative earnings and cash flow
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- persistent regulatory uncertainty
- extreme greed sentiment
- price near resistance with limited upside catalysts
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- fundamental value gap (negative PE, PB, and earnings)
- ongoing debt load versus equity
- potential for further drawdown under adverse market conditions
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-35.30%
P/E Ratio-32.0
ROA-17.30%
P/B Ratio-35.4
Op. Cash Flow$-48607000
Free Cash Flow$-19809124
Industry P/E38.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI68.2
Support$15.33
Resistance$24.10
MA 20$19.95
MA 50$18.58
MA 200$16.01
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.8
Valuation
Target Price$27.00
Upside/Downside15.51%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.50
Volatility112.73%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.