NN:NASDAQNextNav Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
$21.50
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
NextNav’s stock is trading above its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, indicating a short‑term bullish bias, while the price remains comfortably above the identified support level. The technical picture shows a bullish trend direction but a bearish MACD histogram and a neutral RSI, suggesting mixed momentum. Volatility is elevated and beta is high, reflecting a risk‑on market environment, and the Fear & Greed Index is in the “Extreme Greed” zone, implying strong speculative interest.
Fundamentally, the company reports sizable net losses, negative margins and a sky‑high price‑to‑sales multiple, which point to an overvalued valuation. However, the balance sheet holds a solid cash cushion and the firm is actively forging strategic partnerships in the PNT and drone‑airspace arenas, offering a potential long‑term growth catalyst despite ongoing regulatory headwinds.
Fundamentally, the company reports sizable net losses, negative margins and a sky‑high price‑to‑sales multiple, which point to an overvalued valuation. However, the balance sheet holds a solid cash cushion and the firm is actively forging strategic partnerships in the PNT and drone‑airspace arenas, offering a potential long‑term growth catalyst despite ongoing regulatory headwinds.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above short‑term moving averages
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating weakening momentum
- Elevated volatility and high beta
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strategic partnerships expanding PNT market reach
- Strong cash position supporting runway
- Potential regulatory clarity improving revenue outlook
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Unique spectrum license and 3D positioning technology
- Growing demand for precise location services across telecom and public safety
- Long‑term industry tailwinds in autonomous and drone operations
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-35.30%
P/E Ratio-29.5
ROA-17.30%
P/B Ratio-32.5
Op. Cash Flow$-48607000
Free Cash Flow$-19809124
Industry P/E36.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI51.8
Support$19.01
Resistance$24.42
MA 20$21.70
MA 50$19.76
MA 200$16.50
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Target Price$39.50
Upside/Downside83.72%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.55
Volatility78.52%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.