NN:NASDAQNextNav Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-23 - not real-time
$12.94
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading just above a clear support level while the 20‑day SMA sits below the price, indicating a fragile near‑term floor. Momentum indicators are bearish – the MACD line remains below its signal and the histogram is negative – yet the RSI has slipped into oversold territory, suggesting a potential short‑term bounce.
Fundamental outlook: The company reports negative revenue growth, deeply negative margins and cash flows, and a balance sheet weighed down by debt that exceeds its cash holdings. Valuation multiples are extreme (price‑to‑sales in the hundreds) and earnings metrics are negative, which together with a high 30‑day volatility and a large historical drawdown flag substantial downside risk. Analyst coverage is limited but leans bullish, driven largely by a lofty price target that seems disconnected from the current financial reality, while market sentiment is in an “extreme greed” phase.
Fundamental outlook: The company reports negative revenue growth, deeply negative margins and cash flows, and a balance sheet weighed down by debt that exceeds its cash holdings. Valuation multiples are extreme (price‑to‑sales in the hundreds) and earnings metrics are negative, which together with a high 30‑day volatility and a large historical drawdown flag substantial downside risk. Analyst coverage is limited but leans bullish, driven largely by a lofty price target that seems disconnected from the current financial reality, while market sentiment is in an “extreme greed” phase.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- bearish MACD trend
- RSI in oversold zone indicating volatility‑driven price swings
- price hovering just above a key support level
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- persistent negative earnings and cash flow
- high debt relative to cash reserves
- analyst price targets that may be speculative
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- fundamental financial weakness and lack of profitability
- excessive valuation multiples given cash‑flow deficits
- elevated beta and volatility suggesting continued price instability
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-35.30%
P/E Ratio-17.7
ROA-17.30%
P/B Ratio-19.6
Op. Cash Flow$-48607000
Free Cash Flow$-19809124
Industry P/E33.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI29.9
Support$12.03
Resistance$18.68
MA 20$15.61
MA 50$18.71
MA 200$16.48
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.66
Valuation
Target Price$33.67
Upside/Downside160.18%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta1.42
Volatility67.73%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.