NN:NASDAQNextNav Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-20 - not real-time
$22.83
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
NextNav Inc. (NN) is riding a wave of bullish technical momentum, with short‑term averages stacked above longer‑term averages, a bullish MACD histogram, and an RSI perched in overbought territory, all underpinned by an accelerating volume trend. The market sentiment is extremely optimistic, reflected in an “Extreme Greed” reading on the fear‑greed index, and recent news of potential acquisition interest has sparked a near‑50% weekly rally, pushing the price close to its recent high.
However, the fundamentals paint a starkly different picture: the company reports negative revenue growth, deep operating losses, zero profitability, a sky‑high price‑to‑sales multiple, and a cash burn that outpaces its cash reserves. High volatility, a beta above the market, and a substantial max drawdown further amplify the risk profile, suggesting that the current price may be more speculative than value‑driven.
However, the fundamentals paint a starkly different picture: the company reports negative revenue growth, deep operating losses, zero profitability, a sky‑high price‑to‑sales multiple, and a cash burn that outpaces its cash reserves. High volatility, a beta above the market, and a substantial max drawdown further amplify the risk profile, suggesting that the current price may be more speculative than value‑driven.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical setup with price above key moving averages
- Strong short‑term momentum and rising volume
- Speculative catalyst from acquisition rumors
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Extreme overvaluation relative to earnings and cash flow
- Persistent operating losses and negative cash generation
- Elevated volatility and beta indicating price swings
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Fundamental deterioration with no clear path to profitability
- High debt load and ongoing cash burn
- Risk of prolonged market correction in a high‑beta tech niche
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-50.60%
P/E Ratio-34.6
ROA-20.71%
P/B Ratio-35.8
Op. Cash Flow$-50745000
Free Cash Flow$-21714376
Industry P/E36.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI73.8
Support$13.78
Resistance$22.85
MA 20$17.23
MA 50$16.82
MA 200$15.46
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.02
Valuation
Target Price$22.50
Upside/Downside-1.45%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.45
Volatility101.14%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.