NMRA:NASDAQNeumora Therapeutics, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-18 - not real-time
$1.61
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Neumora Therapeutics is trading well below its 20‑day simple moving average, which itself sits under the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, underscoring a clear bearish price structure. The MACD line remains beneath its signal, though the modestly positive histogram hints at a tentative shift toward bullish momentum. RSI hovers in the mid‑40s, suggesting the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, while daily volume has been on a downtrend, raising concerns about liquidity. Volatility is extreme, exceeding 250% on a 30‑day basis, and the historical max drawdown tops 70%, reflecting a highly risky profile.
Fundamentally, NMRA reports zero revenue and deep operating losses, with negative earnings per share and a forward PE that is negative. The price‑to‑book multiple sits above four times book value, and the balance sheet shows modest cash against a sizable debt load, resulting in a high debt‑to‑equity ratio. Nevertheless, eight analysts collectively rate the stock as a "buy" and price targets imply upside of nearly three‑fold, indicating that the market may be undervaluing the upcoming clinical catalysts in its neuro‑psychiatric pipeline.
Fundamentally, NMRA reports zero revenue and deep operating losses, with negative earnings per share and a forward PE that is negative. The price‑to‑book multiple sits above four times book value, and the balance sheet shows modest cash against a sizable debt load, resulting in a high debt‑to‑equity ratio. Nevertheless, eight analysts collectively rate the stock as a "buy" and price targets imply upside of nearly three‑fold, indicating that the market may be undervaluing the upcoming clinical catalysts in its neuro‑psychiatric pipeline.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical alignment of moving averages
- Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility
- Lack of immediate revenue or earnings support
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Potential Phase 3 readout for navacaprant
- Analyst consensus buy with sizable upside targets
- Improving MACD histogram suggesting momentum shift
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Broad pipeline addressing unmet neuro‑psychiatric needs
- Long‑run growth potential outweighs current financial deficits
- Strategic positioning in a high‑growth biotech sub‑sector
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
P/E Ratio-2.2
ROE-148.74%
ROA-66.39%
Debt/Equity75.51
P/B Ratio4.1
Op. Cash Flow$-193396000
Free Cash Flow$-108301128
Industry P/E29.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI47.9
Support$1.40
Resistance$1.85
MA 20$1.62
MA 50$1.70
MA 200$2.19
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.91
Valuation
Target Price$6.28
Upside/Downside290.22%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.95
Volatility261.16%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.