NMRA:NASDAQNeumora Therapeutics, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-20 - not real-time
$2.15
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading just under its short‑term moving average while remaining above its long‑term average, indicating a modestly bearish short‑term bias within a neutral overall trend. The RSI sits in the low‑mid 40s, suggesting neither overbought nor oversold conditions, and the MACD histogram has turned slightly positive, giving a faint bullish signal. Volatility is elevated and beta is well above market, pointing to large price swings on market moves.
Fundamental and catalyst view: The company carries no revenue and reports sizable operating losses, with negative cash flow despite a solid cash balance that provides a runway for ongoing clinical programs. Recent news highlights encouraging Phase 1b data for NMRA‑511 and progress on the Phase 3 depression trial, while also noting a toxicology setback and an emerging shareholder litigation claim. Analyst consensus remains bullish, with price targets well above the current low‑single‑digit level, reflecting the perceived upside from potential regulatory approvals.
Fundamental and catalyst view: The company carries no revenue and reports sizable operating losses, with negative cash flow despite a solid cash balance that provides a runway for ongoing clinical programs. Recent news highlights encouraging Phase 1b data for NMRA‑511 and progress on the Phase 3 depression trial, while also noting a toxicology setback and an emerging shareholder litigation claim. Analyst consensus remains bullish, with price targets well above the current low‑single‑digit level, reflecting the perceived upside from potential regulatory approvals.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Upcoming earnings release with expected narrowed loss
- High short‑term volatility and beta
- Neutral technical positioning near support
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Positive Phase 1b data for NMRA‑511 and ongoing Phase 3 trial
- Analyst price targets indicating significant upside
- Sufficient cash runway to fund near‑term development
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Potential for multiple product approvals in neuro‑psychiatric space
- Long‑term growth narrative outweighs current earnings deficit
- Risk of regulatory setbacks balanced by high upside potential
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
P/E Ratio-2.3
ROE-121.21%
ROA-58.11%
Debt/Equity52.96
P/B Ratio3.6
Op. Cash Flow$-206440000
Free Cash Flow$-115712376
Industry P/E26.2
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI42.5
Support$1.82
Resistance$2.63
MA 20$2.18
MA 50$2.72
MA 200$2.13
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index86.96
Valuation
Target Price$8.91
Upside/Downside314.30%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.72
Volatility82.17%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.