We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

NMRA:NASDAQNeumora Therapeutics, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-18 - not real-time

$1.61

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Neumora Therapeutics is trading well below its 20‑day simple moving average, which itself sits under the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, underscoring a clear bearish price structure. The MACD line remains beneath its signal, though the modestly positive histogram hints at a tentative shift toward bullish momentum. RSI hovers in the mid‑40s, suggesting the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, while daily volume has been on a downtrend, raising concerns about liquidity. Volatility is extreme, exceeding 250% on a 30‑day basis, and the historical max drawdown tops 70%, reflecting a highly risky profile.
Fundamentally, NMRA reports zero revenue and deep operating losses, with negative earnings per share and a forward PE that is negative. The price‑to‑book multiple sits above four times book value, and the balance sheet shows modest cash against a sizable debt load, resulting in a high debt‑to‑equity ratio. Nevertheless, eight analysts collectively rate the stock as a "buy" and price targets imply upside of nearly three‑fold, indicating that the market may be undervaluing the upcoming clinical catalysts in its neuro‑psychiatric pipeline.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical alignment of moving averages
  • Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility
  • Lack of immediate revenue or earnings support

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Potential Phase 3 readout for navacaprant
  • Analyst consensus buy with sizable upside targets
  • Improving MACD histogram suggesting momentum shift

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Broad pipeline addressing unmet neuro‑psychiatric needs
  • Long‑run growth potential outweighs current financial deficits
  • Strategic positioning in a high‑growth biotech sub‑sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-2.2
ROE-148.74%
ROA-66.39%
Debt/Equity75.51
P/B Ratio4.1
Op. Cash Flow$-193396000
Free Cash Flow$-108301128
Industry P/E29.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI47.9
Support$1.40
Resistance$1.85
MA 20$1.62
MA 50$1.70
MA 200$2.19
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.91

Valuation

Target Price$6.28
Upside/Downside290.22%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.95
Volatility261.16%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.