NMR:NYSENomura Holdings Inc Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-25 - not real-time
$9.88
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Nomura Holdings, Inc. trades at $9.88, with its short-term moving averages stacked above the longer-term ones — a bullish trend structure. It has gained 1.3% over the past 30 days. RSI sits at 57.0, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near $9.11 and resistance around $10.05.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 11.8 versus a 17.0 sector average, below the peer group. The average analyst target implies 4.4% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 31.2% on a 17.3% profit margin. The 3.32% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 7 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 27.6%, a beta of 1.22 and a maximum drawdown of 22.4%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on buy — conviction 5 out of 10.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 11.8 versus a 17.0 sector average, below the peer group. The average analyst target implies 4.4% above today's level. Revenue is growing at 31.2% on a 17.3% profit margin. The 3.32% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 7 out of 10, which is elevated for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 27.6%, a beta of 1.22 and a maximum drawdown of 22.4%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on buy — conviction 5 out of 10.
Top Market Events
Detailed price information for Nomura Holdings Inc ADR NMR-N from The Globe and Mail including charting and trades.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 8.56
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- P/E of 11.8 versus sector average of 17.0
- Trading above the 200-day average of 8.56
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 11.8 versus sector average of 17.0
- Profit margin of 17.3% is healthy
- Revenue growth of +31.2%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth31.20%
Profit Margin17.29%
P/E Ratio11.8
ROE11.16%
ROA0.67%
Debt/Equity945.61
P/B Ratio1.2
Industry P/E17.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI57.0
Support$9.11
Resistance$10.05
MA 20$9.76
MA 50$9.49
MA 200$8.56
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.21
Valuation
Target Price$10.31
Upside/Downside4.38%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.32%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.22
Volatility27.57%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.