NMR:NYSENomura Holdings Inc Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
$8.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Nomura Holdings (NMR) trades around $8, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA (≈$7.97) and 50‑day SMA (≈$8.00) while the RSI sits near 48, indicating a neutral momentum stance. Technical signals such as a bullish MACD histogram and a stable volume trend support a modest upside bias, with the price positioned midway between the identified support ($7.71) and resistance ($8.40) levels. Fundamentally, the company posts a robust revenue growth rate of 27.5% and a PE ratio of roughly 10.7, well below the industry average of 16.5, suggesting an undervalued valuation. The dividend yield of 5.14% and a payout ratio under 22% are attractive, though the negative operating cash flow and a staggering debt‑to‑equity ratio above 900 raise sustainability concerns. Recent news highlights a record full‑year net income and strategic moves into the shipping sector, providing a catalyst for earnings momentum. The market’s “Extreme Greed” sentiment (fear‑greed index 89.4) aligns with the modest upside potential of about 17% to the consensus target price of $9.35.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Neutral technical stance with bullish MACD
- Dividend yield provides income cushion
- Price near support but no strong breakout
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued valuation relative to peers
- Record earnings and expansion into shipping
- Target upside of ~17% to $9.35
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- High debt‑to‑equity and negative cash flow
- Sustainable dividend at current payout
- Long‑term growth prospects tempered by balance‑sheet risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth27.50%
Profit Margin16.71%
P/E Ratio10.7
ROE10.07%
ROA0.63%
Debt/Equity917.37
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$-842960011264
Industry P/E16.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI48.4
Support$7.71
Resistance$8.40
MA 20$7.97
MA 50$8.00
MA 200$7.90
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.41
Valuation
Target Price$9.35
Upside/Downside16.85%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield5.14%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.38
Volatility33.71%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.