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NMIH:NASDAQNMI Holdings Inc analysis

Data as of Sep 17, 2026 - not real-time

Latest price
$43.00
Risk: low
3/10Low risk

Summary

The moving-average structure behind NMI Holdings, Inc. is bullish at $43.00, with short-term averages leading the long-term ones. Over a rolling month the price has lost 3.3%. With RSI at 37.0 the momentum picture is approaching oversold, alongside a bearish MACD signal. The recent range runs from support at $41.62 up to resistance at $46.20.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 8.5 times earnings below a sector average of 15.9. Consensus targets land 14.3% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 8.1% on a 54.1% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 3/10, putting it in low territory. With 30-day volatility of 14.6%, a beta of 0.13 and a maximum drawdown of 15.3%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 8/10 conviction.

Top market events

  • The end of an earnings season can be a great time to discover new stocks and assess how companies are handling the...
  • --NMI Holdings, Inc.,, the parent company of National Mortgage Insurance Corporation, today announced that Lesley Alli...
  • Detailed price information for Nmi Holdings Inc NMIH-Q from The Globe and Mail including charting and trades.

Market outlook

Short term

< 1 year

Positive

Model confidence7/107 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 40.03
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium term

1–3 years

Positive

Model confidence7/107 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • P/E of 8.5 versus sector average of 15.9
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 40.03

Long term

> 3 years

Positive

Model confidence8/108 out of 10

Key factors

  • P/E of 8.5 versus sector average of 15.9
  • Analyst targets imply +14.3% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 54.1% is healthy

Key metrics

Financial health

Revenue Growth8.10%
Profit Margin54.10%
P/E Ratio8.5
ROE15.43%
ROA8.82%
Debt/Equity15.75
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$448.5M
Free Cash Flow$329.8M
Industry P/E15.9

Technical analysis

TrendBullish
RSI37.0
Support$41.62
Resistance$46.20
MA 20$44.63
MA 50$43.88
MA 200$40.03
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.75

Valuation

Fair Value$72.21
Target Price$49.17
Upside/Downside14.34%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk assessment

Beta0.13
Volatility14.57%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.