NMFC:NASDAQNew Mountain Finance Corporation analysis
Data as of Sep 26, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $6.98
- Risk: medium
- 6/10Medium risk
Summary
New Mountain Finance Corporation trades at $6.98, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Over a rolling month the price has lost 10.4%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 36.4 (approaching oversold) with MACD reading bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at $6.89 and resistance at $7.73.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 6.6 times earnings against the sector's 15.6. Consensus targets land 18.8% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is contracting at 26.4% on a -16.8% profit margin. The 16.33% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
The composite risk read is 6/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 20.3%, a beta of 0.67 and a maximum drawdown of 30.3%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 1/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 6.6 times earnings against the sector's 15.6. Consensus targets land 18.8% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is contracting at 26.4% on a -16.8% profit margin. The 16.33% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
The composite risk read is 6/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 20.3%, a beta of 0.67 and a maximum drawdown of 30.3%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 1/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top market events
- Adjusted NII of $0.26 per share covers the dividend, while strategic buybacks and a stronger credit profile position...
- New Mountain NMFC delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 0.
- New Mountain Finance NMFC came out with quarterly earnings of $0.
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 7.98
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 6.6 versus sector average of 15.6
- Dividend yield of 16.33% looks stretched against payout coverage
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence1/101 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 6.6 versus sector average of 15.6
- Dividend yield of 16.33% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Negative profit margin of -16.8%
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth-26.40%
Profit Margin-16.78%
P/E Ratio6.6
ROE-4.06%
ROA5.24%
Debt/Equity130.40
P/B Ratio0.6
Op. Cash Flow$660.6M
Free Cash Flow$70.5M
Industry P/E15.6
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI36.4
Support$6.89
Resistance$7.73
MA 20$7.25
MA 50$7.31
MA 200$7.98
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.88
Valuation
Target Price$8.29
Upside/Downside18.79%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield16.33%
Risk assessment
Beta0.67
Volatility20.32%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.