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NMDC:ADXNMDC Group PJSC Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-30 - not real-time

₹87.99

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

NMDC is trading just above its short‑term moving average, with the 20‑day SMA comfortably above the 50‑day SMA, reinforcing a bullish bias. The broader trend remains upward, yet the MACD has turned bearish and the histogram is negative, suggesting short‑term momentum may be losing steam. RSI sits near the midpoint, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions, while volume has been tapering, which could foreshadow a consolidation phase. Support sits just above the recent low and resistance aligns with the recent high, framing a relatively tight price corridor. Volatility over the past month is elevated, but the stock’s beta is low, implying limited sensitivity to market swings. The basic materials sector carries moderate cyclical risk, and regulatory exposure in mining is medium, while geographic concentration in India adds a medium‑level country risk. The dividend yield is attractive and the payout ratio is modest, supporting dividend sustainability. Fundamentals show solid revenue growth, healthy margins and a PE that is in line with peers, while analysts are largely neutral. Recent consensus‑buy mentions in pick‑list coverage add a modest positive sentiment boost. Overall, the stock appears poised for a short‑term pause but retains upside potential for investors comfortable with a medium‑term hold.
The valuation metrics suggest the current price is roughly in line with intrinsic estimates, making the stock fairly priced. With a forward PE below the trailing figure and a dividend yield that outpaces many peers, the company offers a blend of growth and income characteristics. The target price median from analysts sits slightly below the market level, indicating limited upside in the near term but a stable platform for long‑term investors seeking dividend income and exposure to India’s mining sector.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish moving‑average alignment
  • Bearish MACD crossover
  • Decreasing volume and tight price range

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Stable earnings margins and revenue growth
  • Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
  • Analyst consensus neutral with modest upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Low beta and defensive exposure to commodities
  • Consistent cash generation and low debt burden
  • Strategic initiatives and positive sentiment from analyst picks

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth15.90%
Profit Margin24.88%
P/E Ratio11.2
Debt/Equity11.21
P/B Ratio2.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.2
Support₹86.38
Resistance₹94.25
MA 20₹89.61
MA 50₹86.20
MA 200₹79.54
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.07

Valuation

Target Price₹82.47
Upside/Downside-6.27%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.79%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.55
Volatility28.84%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.