NLY:NYSEAnnaly Capital Management Inc. analysis

The moving-average structure behind Annaly Capital Management, Inc. is bearish at $18.57, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. Over a rolling month the price has lost 18.2%. Relative strength is 31.0 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bullish. Price has been bracketed by support at $17.76 and resistance at $21.55.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 4.6 times earnings against the sector's 30.0. Sell-side targets cluster 25.8% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 479.4% on a 90.7% profit margin. The 16.52% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 4 of a possible 10, a moderate reading. With 30-day volatility of 27.5%, a beta of 0.58 and a maximum drawdown of 26.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 91 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: hold near-term but buy on a long view, at 6/10 conviction over the longer horizon.