NLY:NYSEAnnaly Capital Management Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-09-02 - not real-time
$22.62
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind Annaly Capital Management, Inc. is bullish at $22.62, with short-term averages leading the long-term ones. Relative strength is 42.1 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at $22.45 and resistance at $23.91.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 5.5 times earnings against the sector's 31.9. Sell-side targets cluster 7.1% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 479.4% on a 90.7% profit margin. The 13.09% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 3 of a possible 10, a low reading. With 30-day volatility of 15.8%, a beta of 0.56 and a maximum drawdown of 14.9%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 7/10 conviction.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 5.5 times earnings against the sector's 31.9. Sell-side targets cluster 7.1% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 479.4% on a 90.7% profit margin. The 13.09% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 3 of a possible 10, a low reading. With 30-day volatility of 15.8%, a beta of 0.56 and a maximum drawdown of 14.9%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 7/10 conviction.
Top Market Events
Annaly NLY delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +5.Annaly Capital Management Inc NLY reports a 5.Annaly's rising EAD is supporting another dividend increase.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 22.54
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- P/E of 5.5 versus sector average of 31.9
- Trading above the 200-day average of 22.54
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 5.5 versus sector average of 31.9
- Analyst targets imply +7.1% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 90.7% is healthy
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO19.232985053355296
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI42.1
Support$22.45
Resistance$23.91
MA 20$23.10
MA 50$22.88
MA 200$22.54
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.25
Risk Assessment
Beta0.56
Volatility15.82%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.