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NL:NYSENL Industries, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-23 - not real-time

$5.70

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

NLI Holdings trades well below its discounted cash‑flow estimate, offering a clear margin of safety while delivering an exceptionally high dividend yield that outpaces most peers. However, the company’s earnings remain negative, profit margins are in the red, and cash flow generation is modest, raising concerns about the sustainability of the payout. Technical signals are mixed: the 20‑day moving average sits just above the 200‑day line, suggesting a neutral stance, yet the MACD has turned bearish and volume is on a downtrend, putting short‑term momentum under pressure.
Given the undervalued pricing relative to intrinsic value and the attractive yield, the stock may appeal to income‑focused investors, but the combination of earnings weakness, high payout ratio, and elevated volatility warrants a cautious approach, especially for those seeking capital appreciation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price hovering near recent support
  • bearish MACD momentum
  • declining trading volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • price discount to DCF fair value
  • high dividend yield relative to peers
  • moderate beta suggesting limited market swings

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • persistent earnings losses and negative ROE
  • uncertain dividend sustainability
  • diversified product portfolio across multiple regions

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth0.70%
Profit Margin-21.53%
P/E Ratio6.6
ROE-7.95%
ROA3.28%
Debt/Equity0.38
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$7.5M
Free Cash Flow$15.5M
Industry P/E31.1

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI42.0
Support$5.59
Resistance$6.35
MA 20$5.95
MA 50$6.24
MA 200$5.95
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.5

Valuation

Fair Value$6.28
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield7.09%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.72
Volatility41.56%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.