NL:NYSENL Industries, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-23 - not real-time
$5.70
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
NLI Holdings trades well below its discounted cash‑flow estimate, offering a clear margin of safety while delivering an exceptionally high dividend yield that outpaces most peers. However, the company’s earnings remain negative, profit margins are in the red, and cash flow generation is modest, raising concerns about the sustainability of the payout. Technical signals are mixed: the 20‑day moving average sits just above the 200‑day line, suggesting a neutral stance, yet the MACD has turned bearish and volume is on a downtrend, putting short‑term momentum under pressure.
Given the undervalued pricing relative to intrinsic value and the attractive yield, the stock may appeal to income‑focused investors, but the combination of earnings weakness, high payout ratio, and elevated volatility warrants a cautious approach, especially for those seeking capital appreciation.
Given the undervalued pricing relative to intrinsic value and the attractive yield, the stock may appeal to income‑focused investors, but the combination of earnings weakness, high payout ratio, and elevated volatility warrants a cautious approach, especially for those seeking capital appreciation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price hovering near recent support
- bearish MACD momentum
- declining trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- price discount to DCF fair value
- high dividend yield relative to peers
- moderate beta suggesting limited market swings
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- persistent earnings losses and negative ROE
- uncertain dividend sustainability
- diversified product portfolio across multiple regions
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth0.70%
Profit Margin-21.53%
P/E Ratio6.6
ROE-7.95%
ROA3.28%
Debt/Equity0.38
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$7.5M
Free Cash Flow$15.5M
Industry P/E31.1
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI42.0
Support$5.59
Resistance$6.35
MA 20$5.95
MA 50$6.24
MA 200$5.95
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.5
Valuation
Fair Value$6.28
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield7.09%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.72
Volatility41.56%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.