NL:NYSENL Industries, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-20 - not real-time
$5.85
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
NL Industries trades at a forward PE of roughly 6.8, far below the industry average of 31, and its price‑to‑book is under 1, suggesting the stock is priced on the cheap side. However, the company posted a negative trailing EPS and a profit margin of -24%, with operating cash flow and free cash flow both in the negative, raising concerns about earnings sustainability. The technical picture is mixed: price sits just above the 20‑day SMA (5.80) but below the 50‑day SMA (5.97), the RSI hovers around 50, and a bullish MACD histogram contrasts with an overall bearish trend and decreasing volume. The dividend yield is an attractive 6.8% but the payout ratio of 175% is unsustainable given the cash‑flow deficits. Recent press releases confirm the declaration of a quarterly dividend, reinforcing short‑term income appeal while the broader financial health remains fragile.
Investors should weigh the deep discount to peers against the earnings and cash‑flow challenges, and monitor upcoming earnings guidance for signs of turnaround.
Investors should weigh the deep discount to peers against the earnings and cash‑flow challenges, and monitor upcoming earnings guidance for signs of turnaround.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical trend with price below 50‑day SMA
- Decreasing volume indicating waning buying interest
- Unsustainable dividend payout ratio
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation discount (low PE and P/B)
- Forward EPS turning positive
- Strong cash balance and minimal debt providing a cushion
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Potential for earnings recovery if cash‑flow improves
- High dividend yield attractive if sustainability improves
- Continued exposure to industrial security sector volatility
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-1.90%
Profit Margin-23.90%
P/E Ratio6.8
ROE-8.92%
ROA2.92%
Debt/Equity0.13
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$-36403000
Free Cash Flow$-30312876
Industry P/E31.3
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI50.1
Support$5.36
Resistance$5.96
MA 20$5.80
MA 50$5.97
MA 200$6.01
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index86.86
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield6.84%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.95
Volatility31.75%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.