NIOG:NASDAQLeverage Shares 2X Long NIO Daily ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time
$14.38
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
The ETF is trading at $14.38, well below its 20‑day SMA of 18.92 and the 50‑day SMA of 20.17, indicating short‑term weakness despite a solid 35.86% YTD return. RSI sits at 33.4, suggesting the instrument is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD histogram remains negative, reinforcing a bearish momentum bias.
Volatility is extreme, with a 30‑day standard deviation of over 104% and a beta of 2.45, exposing investors to amplified market swings. The fund’s maximum historical drawdown of -45.2% and a relatively high expense ratio of 0.75% further heighten the risk profile, especially in the current “Extreme Greed” market sentiment (FGI = 91.2).
Liquidity is improving, as evidenced by an increasing volume trend and a daily trade count of roughly 74,000 shares, but the leveraged, single‑stock nature caps its appeal for long‑term holding. Investors should therefore treat NIOG as a tactical, short‑duration play rather than a core position.
Volatility is extreme, with a 30‑day standard deviation of over 104% and a beta of 2.45, exposing investors to amplified market swings. The fund’s maximum historical drawdown of -45.2% and a relatively high expense ratio of 0.75% further heighten the risk profile, especially in the current “Extreme Greed” market sentiment (FGI = 91.2).
Liquidity is improving, as evidenced by an increasing volume trend and a daily trade count of roughly 74,000 shares, but the leveraged, single‑stock nature caps its appeal for long‑term holding. Investors should therefore treat NIOG as a tactical, short‑duration play rather than a core position.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI approaching oversold levels
- Negative MACD momentum
- Increasing trading volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Strong YTD performance
- High beta offering amplified upside
- Current market optimism (Extreme Greed)
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Leveraged daily reset erosion
- Historical max drawdown of -45%
- Elevated expense ratio
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.75%
AUM$3.1M
Inception Date2025-12-17
Avg Daily Volume50,030
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI33.4
Support$13.97
Resistance$23.61
MA 20$18.92
MA 50$20.17
MA 200$17.25
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.2
Risk Assessment
Beta2.45
Volatility104.79%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.