NFLX:NASDAQNetflix, Inc. analysis
Data as of Oct 2, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $67.28
- Risk: medium
- 5/10Medium risk
Summary
At $67.28, Netflix, Inc. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. The last 30 days have lost 16.1%. RSI sits at 31.4, which reads as approaching oversold, and MACD momentum is bearish. Watch $67.14 as support and $82.69 as the nearer resistance level.
The shares look fair, trading on 21.2 times earnings above a sector average of 15.2. Analyst price targets sit 38.1% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 13.4% on a 28.2% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 33.9%, a beta of 0.32 and a maximum drawdown of 45.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 2/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
The shares look fair, trading on 21.2 times earnings above a sector average of 15.2. Analyst price targets sit 38.1% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 13.4% on a 28.2% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 33.9%, a beta of 0.32 and a maximum drawdown of 45.8%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons diverge: sell near-term but hold on a long view, at 2/10 conviction over the longer horizon.
Top market events
- Netflix stock fell to $71.79 after Wells Fargo cut it to Underweight with a $57 target. He
- Revenue hit USD 12.56 billion in the second quarter of 2026. Netflix stock costs EUR 60.47 on Octobe
- Netflix Inc NASDAQ:NFLX, XETRA:NFC co-CEO Ted Sarandos said the streaming giant is not growing as fast as he would...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence5/105 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 84.07
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 21.2 versus sector average of 15.2
- Trading below the 200-day average of 84.07
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 21.2 versus sector average of 15.2
- Analyst targets imply +38.1% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 28.2% is healthy
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth13.40%
Profit Margin28.22%
P/E Ratio21.2
ROE49.54%
ROA16.08%
Debt/Equity55.24
P/B Ratio9.3
Op. Cash Flow$12.0B
Free Cash Flow$25.4B
Industry P/E15.2
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI31.4
Support$67.14
Resistance$82.69
MA 20$73.51
MA 50$75.57
MA 200$84.07
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.23
Valuation
Fair Value$123.55
Target Price$92.93
Upside/Downside38.13%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Risk assessment
Beta0.32
Volatility33.87%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.