NFLX:NASDAQNetflix, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-13 - not real-time
$77.12
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At $77.12, Netflix, Inc. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. The last 30 days have gained 4.0%. RSI sits at 59.6, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bullish. Watch $65.08 as support and $77.37 as the nearer resistance level.
The shares look fair, trading on 24.3 times earnings above a sector average of 16.2. Analyst price targets sit 21.9% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 13.4% on a 28.2% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 36.2%, a beta of 0.27 and a maximum drawdown of 46.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 2/10 conviction.
The shares look fair, trading on 24.3 times earnings above a sector average of 16.2. Analyst price targets sit 21.9% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 13.4% on a 28.2% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 36.2%, a beta of 0.27 and a maximum drawdown of 46.5%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 2/10 conviction.
Top Market Events
Trey Thoelcke Aug 6, 2026 0 24/7 Wall St.Fundsmith, an investment management firm based in London, has released its second-quarter 2026 investor letter for its...Netflix, Inc. NASDAQ:NFLX reported fiscal Q2 2026 earnings after market close on July 16.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 89.36
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- P/E of 24.3 versus sector average of 16.2
- Trading below the 200-day average of 89.36
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 24.3 versus sector average of 16.2
- Analyst targets imply +21.9% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 28.2% is healthy
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth13.40%
Profit Margin28.22%
P/E Ratio24.3
ROE49.54%
ROA16.08%
Debt/Equity55.24
P/B Ratio10.7
Op. Cash Flow$12.0B
Free Cash Flow$25.4B
Industry P/E16.2
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI59.6
Support$65.08
Resistance$77.37
MA 20$72.27
MA 50$74.89
MA 200$89.36
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.34
Valuation
Fair Value$134.36
Target Price$94.04
Upside/Downside21.94%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.27
Volatility36.22%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.