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NEM:XETRNemetschek SE Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-16 - not real-time

$90.83

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Newmont’s shares are trading at $90.83, well below the 20‑day ($96.17), 50‑day ($103.46) and 200‑day ($103.89) simple moving averages, signaling a bearish price trend. The RSI sits at 38, indicating the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD histogram has turned positive, offering a bullish signal despite the overall negative MACD line. Volatility is elevated at nearly 50% over the past 30 days and the computed beta of 1.53 points to heightened market sensitivity, which is reflected in the recent 8.7% one‑month price decline driven by a pullback in gold prices amid inflation worries. Recent leadership appointments—including a new CFO, COO and CTO—add a layer of operational optimism, and the upcoming Q2 earnings call will be a key catalyst for direction. Fundamentally, the company delivers robust revenue growth of 45.8% and exceptional margins (gross 67.4%, operating 61.4%). The forward EPS of $10.76 and a forward P/E of 8.44 underscore earnings acceleration, while the DCF‑derived fair value of $330.73 suggests the stock is severely undervalued with an upside potential of roughly 47% over the current price. Cash generation is strong, with free cash flow near $9.8 bn and a modest dividend payout ratio of 13%, supporting dividend sustainability. Analyst consensus remains a “Buy” with a median target near $132, reinforcing the long‑term attractiveness despite short‑term technical weakness.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price below key moving averages indicating bearish momentum
  • RSI near oversold levels and MACD histogram turning positive
  • Recent 8.7% price drop creates a potential entry point

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Leadership reshuffle expected to improve operational execution
  • Upcoming Q2 earnings call will clarify revenue and margin trajectory
  • Strong cash flow and low payout ratio support financial flexibility

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value of $330.73 implies substantial upside
  • High ROE (25.8%) and consistent revenue growth
  • Low dividend payout and robust free cash flow ensure sustainability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth45.80%
Profit Margin33.87%
P/E Ratio11.8
ROE25.83%
ROA14.89%
Debt/Equity15.76
P/B Ratio2.8
Op. Cash Flow$12.1B
Free Cash Flow$9.8B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI38.0
Support$90.60
Resistance$112.18
MA 20$96.17
MA 50$103.46
MA 200$103.89
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.55

Valuation

Fair Value$330.73
Target Price$133.47
Upside/Downside46.95%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.09%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.53
Volatility49.67%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.