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NEM:XETRNemetschek SE Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-08 - not real-time

$98.99

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Newmont (NEM) is trading at $98.99, well below its 20‑day ($109.60) and 50‑day ($111.62) SMAs and sitting near a technical support of $98.65, with a 14‑day RSI of 35.7 indicating oversold conditions. MACD remains bearish and the trend is neutral, but volume is increasing, suggesting potential accumulation.
Fundamentally, the company shows a 45.8% revenue growth year‑over‑year, ultra‑high operating margins (61%), a strong cash pile ($8.78 B) versus modest debt, and a low payout ratio (13%), making the dividend sustainable. The DCF fair value of $330.73 implies a 43% upside, while analysts have raised price targets to $145, labeling the stock as “most undervalued high‑quality.” Despite a high 30‑day volatility (~50%) and a beta above 1, the blend of growth and value attributes, coupled with a solid balance sheet, supports a bullish outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering at technical support
  • Oversold RSI and bearish MACD
  • Increasing volume indicating possible buying interest

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high margins
  • Analyst target uplift to $145 and undervaluation signal
  • Favorable gold price outlook amid geopolitical uncertainty

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Robust cash generation and low dividend payout ratio
  • Diversified global asset base reducing single‑country exposure
  • Long‑term commodity demand supporting sustained earnings

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth45.80%
Profit Margin33.87%
P/E Ratio12.8
ROE25.83%
ROA14.89%
Debt/Equity15.76
P/B Ratio3.0
Op. Cash Flow$12.1B
Free Cash Flow$9.8B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI35.7
Support$98.65
Resistance$121.26
MA 20$109.60
MA 50$111.62
MA 200$101.32
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.64

Valuation

Fair Value$330.73
Target Price$141.74
Upside/Downside43.19%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.04%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.36
Volatility49.83%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.