NEM:XETRNemetschek SE Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-16 - not real-time
$90.83
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Newmont’s shares are trading at $90.83, well below the 20‑day ($96.17), 50‑day ($103.46) and 200‑day ($103.89) simple moving averages, signaling a bearish price trend. The RSI sits at 38, indicating the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD histogram has turned positive, offering a bullish signal despite the overall negative MACD line. Volatility is elevated at nearly 50% over the past 30 days and the computed beta of 1.53 points to heightened market sensitivity, which is reflected in the recent 8.7% one‑month price decline driven by a pullback in gold prices amid inflation worries. Recent leadership appointments—including a new CFO, COO and CTO—add a layer of operational optimism, and the upcoming Q2 earnings call will be a key catalyst for direction. Fundamentally, the company delivers robust revenue growth of 45.8% and exceptional margins (gross 67.4%, operating 61.4%). The forward EPS of $10.76 and a forward P/E of 8.44 underscore earnings acceleration, while the DCF‑derived fair value of $330.73 suggests the stock is severely undervalued with an upside potential of roughly 47% over the current price. Cash generation is strong, with free cash flow near $9.8 bn and a modest dividend payout ratio of 13%, supporting dividend sustainability. Analyst consensus remains a “Buy” with a median target near $132, reinforcing the long‑term attractiveness despite short‑term technical weakness.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Price below key moving averages indicating bearish momentum
- RSI near oversold levels and MACD histogram turning positive
- Recent 8.7% price drop creates a potential entry point
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Leadership reshuffle expected to improve operational execution
- Upcoming Q2 earnings call will clarify revenue and margin trajectory
- Strong cash flow and low payout ratio support financial flexibility
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value of $330.73 implies substantial upside
- High ROE (25.8%) and consistent revenue growth
- Low dividend payout and robust free cash flow ensure sustainability
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth45.80%
Profit Margin33.87%
P/E Ratio11.8
ROE25.83%
ROA14.89%
Debt/Equity15.76
P/B Ratio2.8
Op. Cash Flow$12.1B
Free Cash Flow$9.8B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI38.0
Support$90.60
Resistance$112.18
MA 20$96.17
MA 50$103.46
MA 200$103.89
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.55
Valuation
Fair Value$330.73
Target Price$133.47
Upside/Downside46.95%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.09%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.53
Volatility49.67%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.