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NEM:NYSENewmont Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time

$105.09

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Newmont (NEM) trades around $105, just above its technical support of $104 and below a 30‑day SMA crossover (20‑day SMA $112.95 > 50‑day SMA $111.37), suggesting a short‑term bottom with a bullish bias. Momentum indicators are mixed – RSI sits at 40 (neutral) while MACD remains bearish, and volatility is elevated at ~55% annualized, implying price swings may continue. Fundamentally, the stock appears deeply undervalued with a DCF fair value of $328 and a 37% upside to the current price, a low forward PE of 9.3, strong revenue growth of 45.8%, and record free cash flow that funded a $6 billion share‑repurchase program. The dividend yield of 0.99% is supported by a modest 13% payout ratio and robust cash generation, reinforcing sustainability. Analyst sentiment is broadly positive (Buy consensus, median target $147), and the market sentiment index shows “Extreme Greed,” indicating strong investor appetite for gold exposures.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price hovering just above technical support
  • Mixed momentum (bearish MACD, neutral RSI)
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Substantial upside to DCF fair value
  • Strong free cash flow and $6 B share repurchase
  • Robust revenue growth and low payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term gold price appreciation potential
  • Diversified global mining footprint
  • Sustainable dividend backed by solid balance sheet

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth45.80%
Profit Margin33.87%
P/E Ratio13.6
ROE25.83%
ROA14.89%
Debt/Equity15.76
P/B Ratio3.2
Op. Cash Flow$12.1B
Free Cash Flow$9.8B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI40.3
Support$104.13
Resistance$121.26
MA 20$112.95
MA 50$111.37
MA 200$98.80
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.18

Valuation

Fair Value$327.72
Target Price$144.01
Upside/Downside37.03%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.99%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.12
Volatility55.21%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.