NEM:NYSENewmont Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
$105.09
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Newmont (NEM) trades around $105, just above its technical support of $104 and below a 30‑day SMA crossover (20‑day SMA $112.95 > 50‑day SMA $111.37), suggesting a short‑term bottom with a bullish bias. Momentum indicators are mixed – RSI sits at 40 (neutral) while MACD remains bearish, and volatility is elevated at ~55% annualized, implying price swings may continue. Fundamentally, the stock appears deeply undervalued with a DCF fair value of $328 and a 37% upside to the current price, a low forward PE of 9.3, strong revenue growth of 45.8%, and record free cash flow that funded a $6 billion share‑repurchase program. The dividend yield of 0.99% is supported by a modest 13% payout ratio and robust cash generation, reinforcing sustainability. Analyst sentiment is broadly positive (Buy consensus, median target $147), and the market sentiment index shows “Extreme Greed,” indicating strong investor appetite for gold exposures.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just above technical support
- Mixed momentum (bearish MACD, neutral RSI)
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Substantial upside to DCF fair value
- Strong free cash flow and $6 B share repurchase
- Robust revenue growth and low payout ratio
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term gold price appreciation potential
- Diversified global mining footprint
- Sustainable dividend backed by solid balance sheet
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth45.80%
Profit Margin33.87%
P/E Ratio13.6
ROE25.83%
ROA14.89%
Debt/Equity15.76
P/B Ratio3.2
Op. Cash Flow$12.1B
Free Cash Flow$9.8B
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI40.3
Support$104.13
Resistance$121.26
MA 20$112.95
MA 50$111.37
MA 200$98.80
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.18
Valuation
Fair Value$327.72
Target Price$144.01
Upside/Downside37.03%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.99%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.12
Volatility55.21%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.