NBIS:NASDAQNebius Group N.V. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
$232.36
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Nebius Group is trading well above its 20‑day SMA, which also sits above the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, confirming a bullish price trend despite a bearish MACD histogram and a neutral RSI around the mid‑50s. Revenue surged 684% driven by AI infrastructure, and the company announced a £1.7B UK cloud build‑out and a new NVIDIA‑powered AI robotics lab, underscoring strong top‑line momentum.
However, the stock carries a high 30‑day volatility of over 110% and a computed beta above 3, indicating pronounced price swings. Valuation metrics are mixed: a forward PE above 600 and a trailing PE of 90 dwarf the industry average of 17, yet the DCF model suggests a modest upside of about 5% over the current price. The balance sheet shows a debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 130, offset by a sizable cash pile, while free cash flow remains negative due to aggressive capex. Overall, the picture is one of rapid growth and strategic partnerships tempered by valuation premium and execution risk.
However, the stock carries a high 30‑day volatility of over 110% and a computed beta above 3, indicating pronounced price swings. Valuation metrics are mixed: a forward PE above 600 and a trailing PE of 90 dwarf the industry average of 17, yet the DCF model suggests a modest upside of about 5% over the current price. The balance sheet shows a debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 130, offset by a sizable cash pile, while free cash flow remains negative due to aggressive capex. Overall, the picture is one of rapid growth and strategic partnerships tempered by valuation premium and execution risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bullish price positioning above multiple SMAs
- Positive news flow from AI lab launch and UK expansion
- High volatility and bearish MACD suggesting short‑term pull‑backs
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Sustained AI infrastructure revenue growth
- Strategic alliance with NVIDIA enhancing competitive moat
- Capital deployment toward high‑margin cloud assets
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term tailwinds in AI compute demand
- Elevated debt levels and negative free cash flow risk execution
- Valuation premium relative to peers may limit upside
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth683.90%
Profit Margin93.09%
P/E Ratio90.1
ROE14.14%
ROA-3.01%
Debt/Equity132.43
P/B Ratio8.2
Op. Cash Flow$2.8B
Free Cash Flow$-6147975168
Industry P/E17.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI57.0
Support$183.00
Resistance$278.84
MA 20$224.33
MA 50$184.61
MA 200$120.96
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair Value$282.90
Target Price$244.07
Upside/Downside5.04%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta3.19
Volatility113.95%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.