We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

NBIS:NASDAQNebius Group N.V. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

$232.36

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Nebius Group is trading well above its 20‑day SMA, which also sits above the 50‑day and 200‑day averages, confirming a bullish price trend despite a bearish MACD histogram and a neutral RSI around the mid‑50s. Revenue surged 684% driven by AI infrastructure, and the company announced a £1.7B UK cloud build‑out and a new NVIDIA‑powered AI robotics lab, underscoring strong top‑line momentum.
However, the stock carries a high 30‑day volatility of over 110% and a computed beta above 3, indicating pronounced price swings. Valuation metrics are mixed: a forward PE above 600 and a trailing PE of 90 dwarf the industry average of 17, yet the DCF model suggests a modest upside of about 5% over the current price. The balance sheet shows a debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 130, offset by a sizable cash pile, while free cash flow remains negative due to aggressive capex. Overall, the picture is one of rapid growth and strategic partnerships tempered by valuation premium and execution risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish price positioning above multiple SMAs
  • Positive news flow from AI lab launch and UK expansion
  • High volatility and bearish MACD suggesting short‑term pull‑backs

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained AI infrastructure revenue growth
  • Strategic alliance with NVIDIA enhancing competitive moat
  • Capital deployment toward high‑margin cloud assets

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term tailwinds in AI compute demand
  • Elevated debt levels and negative free cash flow risk execution
  • Valuation premium relative to peers may limit upside

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth683.90%
Profit Margin93.09%
P/E Ratio90.1
ROE14.14%
ROA-3.01%
Debt/Equity132.43
P/B Ratio8.2
Op. Cash Flow$2.8B
Free Cash Flow$-6147975168
Industry P/E17.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI57.0
Support$183.00
Resistance$278.84
MA 20$224.33
MA 50$184.61
MA 200$120.96
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair Value$282.90
Target Price$244.07
Upside/Downside5.04%
GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta3.19
Volatility113.95%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.