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NAVN:NASDAQNavan, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-19 - not real-time

$15.06

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Navan, Inc. (NAVN) posted a **35% revenue increase** and generated its first positive free cash flow, signaling improving top‑line momentum and cash generation. However, operating and profit margins remain deeply negative, and the company carries a very high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 14.4 despite a strong cash position. Technically, the stock trades near its recent resistance of $15.36 with an RSI of 70 (overbought) and a bullish MACD histogram, while volume trends are decreasing and the 30‑day volatility is extreme at 127%. The DCF model values NAVN at $23.31, implying a **37% upside** from the current price of $15.06, but the market sentiment is mixed, reflected in a neutral trend direction and a “Extreme Greed” fear‑greed index. Legal exposure adds a layer of uncertainty, as multiple securities class‑action notices highlight potential litigation risk for investors.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance at $15.36
  • RSI at 70 indicating overbought conditions
  • Decreasing volume trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • DCF fair value suggests ~37% upside
  • 35% revenue growth and first positive free cash flow
  • Bullish MACD signal

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained operating losses and high debt‑to‑equity
  • Very high 30‑day volatility (127%) and beta >1
  • Potential securities class‑action litigation

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth34.80%
Profit Margin-56.68%
P/E Ratio68.1
ROE-60.20%
ROA-8.45%
Debt/Equity14.43
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash Flow$33.7M
Free Cash Flow$142.7M
Industry P/E36.7

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI69.9
Support$8.10
Resistance$15.36
MA 20$12.26
MA 50$10.85
MA 200$13.51
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.21

Valuation

Fair Value$23.31
Target Price$20.67
Upside/Downside37.23%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.14
Volatility127.46%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.