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NAUT:NASDAQNautilus Biotechnology, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-09 - not real-time

$2.33

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Fundamentals: Nautilus Biotechnology is a development‑stage biotech with no revenue and negative earnings, but it holds a sizable cash balance that comfortably exceeds its modest debt load. Recent disclosures highlight a sharp reduction in operating expenses and new research collaborations with leading institutions, which improve the near‑term cash runway while positioning the company for future growth. Technical outlook: The stock trades just above a key support level, with momentum indicators (RSI below the midpoint and a bearish MACD histogram) suggesting continued downside pressure. Volume has been trending lower, volatility is markedly high, and beta indicates sensitivity above the market, all set against an overall market sentiment of “Extreme Greed.”
Valuation & outlook: Despite a price‑to‑book multiple above two, the lack of earnings and a forward P/E that is negative make traditional valuation metrics less informative. The model‑derived upside potential exceeds 70%, driven largely by the platform’s commercialization prospects and the recent collaborations. However, the company’s cash burn and the speculative nature of its technology introduce substantial risk, especially in a high‑regulation sector.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • price near technical support
  • bearish momentum signals
  • decreasing volume and high volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • significant upside potential per model
  • new collaborations expanding market reach
  • ample cash cushion relative to debt

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • platform technology addressing a large proteomics market
  • ongoing partnership pipeline with leading research institutions
  • potential for revenue generation as the platform matures

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

P/E Ratio-3.1
ROE-33.69%
ROA-19.77%
Debt/Equity19.99
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow$-49859000
Free Cash Flow$-28882124
Industry P/E27.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI39.6
Support$2.29
Resistance$3.16
MA 20$2.60
MA 50$2.83
MA 200$2.03
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.3

Valuation

Target Price$4.00
Upside/Downside71.67%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.63
Volatility83.56%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.