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NATL:NYSENCR Atleos Corporation analysis

Data as of Sep 7, 2026 - not real-time

Latest price
$46.09
Risk: low
3/10Low risk

Summary

The moving-average structure behind NCR Atleos Corporation is bullish at $46.09, with short-term averages leading the long-term ones. Over a rolling month the price has lost 3.5%. With RSI at 47.9 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Recent trading has carved out support near $45.36 and resistance around $47.30.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 17.9 times earnings against the sector's 33.2. Consensus targets land 8.9% above where the shares trade now.
The composite risk read is 3/10, putting it in low territory. With 30-day volatility of 12.5%, a beta of 0.72 and a maximum drawdown of 14.9%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to buy, carrying 5/10 conviction.

Top market events

  • NCR Atleos NATL delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +28.
  • Financial technology company NCR Atleos NYSE:NATL in Q2 CY2026, with sales flat year on year at $1.
  • Financial technology company NCR Atleos NYSE:NATL missed Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q2 CY2026, with sales...

Market outlook

Short term

< 1 year

Positive

Model confidence5/105 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 42.88
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium term

1–3 years

Positive

Model confidence5/105 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • P/E of 17.9 versus sector average of 33.2
  • Trading above the 200-day average of 42.88

Long term

> 3 years

Positive

Model confidence5/105 out of 10

Key factors

  • P/E of 17.9 versus sector average of 33.2
  • Analyst targets imply +8.9% versus the current price
  • Return on equity of 48.5%

Key metrics

Financial health

Revenue Growth0.10%
Profit Margin4.44%
P/E Ratio17.9
ROE48.53%
ROA6.34%
Debt/Equity634.27
P/B Ratio7.3
Op. Cash Flow$279.0M
Free Cash Flow$477.9M
Industry P/E33.2

Technical analysis

TrendBullish
RSI47.9
Support$45.36
Resistance$47.30
MA 20$46.35
MA 50$46.17
MA 200$42.88
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.48

Valuation

Fair Value$48.20
Target Price$50.20
Upside/Downside8.92%
GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk assessment

Beta0.72
Volatility12.53%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.