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NAGE:NASDAQNiagen Bioscience, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-19 - not real-time

$4.84

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The stock is trading below its short‑term moving average and the 200‑day trend line, with momentum indicators showing neutral to slightly bearish bias. Volume has been tapering, suggesting reduced buying pressure. Fundamentals: Revenue is growing at a healthy double‑digit rate, margins are solid and cash balances comfortably cover debt, but the market price is well above the discounted cash‑flow estimate, implying a premium valuation.
News catalyst: The board has doubled its share‑repurchase authorization to $20 million, which could provide a modest floor to the price if execution is disciplined. Management’s participation in a high‑profile aging conference may raise visibility, yet analyst coverage remains limited and the latest earnings call highlighted the need for continued top‑line expansion. Overall, the stock appears overvalued in the near term, but the underlying business model and cash position support a longer‑run investment case if the price corrects.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price below short‑term moving averages
  • declining volume trend
  • premium valuation relative to DCF

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • solid revenue growth and margins
  • cash cushion and low debt
  • potential support from expanded share buyback

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • strong growth prospects in the healthy‑aging market
  • high return on equity and cash generation
  • opportunity for price re‑rating if valuation compresses

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth16.20%
Profit Margin13.43%
P/E Ratio24.2
ROE28.35%
ROA10.23%
Debt/Equity3.68
P/B Ratio5.1
Op. Cash Flow$13.5M
Free Cash Flow$4.9M
Industry P/E26.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI56.3
Support$4.16
Resistance$4.99
MA 20$4.54
MA 50$4.82
MA 200$7.32
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.21

Valuation

Fair Value$2.38
Target Price$13.60
Upside/Downside180.99%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.70
Volatility42.85%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.