NA:TSXNational Bank of Canada Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-25 - not real-time
CA$220.58
Latest Price
3/10Risk
Risk Level: Low
Executive Summary
At CAD 220.58, National Bank of Canada shows a bullish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages sitting above longer ones. The last 30 days have lost 3.4%. RSI sits at 43.7, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at CAD 215.29 and resistance at CAD 233.69.
The shares look fair, trading on 19.4 times earnings above a sector average of 17.0. Revenue is growing at 18.3% on a 32.9% profit margin. The 2.43% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 3 of a possible 10, a low reading. With 30-day volatility of 21.6%, a beta of 0.58 and a maximum drawdown of 9.0%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on buy, with conviction of 5/10.
The shares look fair, trading on 19.4 times earnings above a sector average of 17.0. Revenue is growing at 18.3% on a 32.9% profit margin. The 2.43% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 3 of a possible 10, a low reading. With 30-day volatility of 21.6%, a beta of 0.58 and a maximum drawdown of 9.0%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on buy, with conviction of 5/10.
Top Market Events
By Fergal Smith and Nivedita Balu TORONTO, Aug 6 Reuters - The Canadian financial sector's share of the country's...With Canadians carrying $1.80 of debt for every after-tax dollar earned, interest rates could shape both borrowers and...Microsoft and our third-party vendors use cookies to store and access information such as unique IDs and personal...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 193.63
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- P/E of 19.4 versus sector average of 17.0
- Trading above the 200-day average of 193.63
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 19.4 versus sector average of 17.0
- Profit margin of 32.9% is healthy
- Revenue growth of +18.3%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth18.30%
Profit Margin32.89%
P/E Ratio19.4
ROE13.87%
ROA0.80%
P/B Ratio2.7
Op. Cash FlowCA$-36195000320
Industry P/E17.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI43.7
SupportCA$215.29
ResistanceCA$233.69
MA 20CA$225.50
MA 50CA$225.24
MA 200CA$193.63
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.09
Valuation
Target PriceCA$223.29
Upside/Downside1.23%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.43%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.58
Volatility21.61%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.