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MYRG:NASDAQMYR Group, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-31 - not real-time

$339.56

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

MYR Group posted a record Q2 2026 revenue of $1.08 billion, up 20% YoY, and delivered GAAP EPS of $3.17, beating consensus by more than 20%. The company trades at a trailing P/E of 32.3 versus an industry average of 30.9, and a forward P/E of 25, reflecting modest valuation compression as earnings are expected to rise to $13.60 per share. Technicals show the stock near its 20‑day SMA (≈$393) and above the 200‑day SMA, but the RSI sits at 32 (oversold) and MACD remains bearish, suggesting short‑term downside pressure despite a neutral trend and increasing volume. The DCF‑derived fair value of $336 is essentially inline with the current price of $339, while analyst consensus targets around $430 imply a potential upside of roughly 27%.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI indicating oversold conditions
  • Bearish MACD histogram
  • Support level around $315 providing downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • 20% revenue growth and strong earnings beat
  • Forward EPS growth to $13.60 and lower forward P/E
  • Analyst target median of $430 suggesting ~27% upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Exposure to clean‑energy infrastructure and EV‑charging projects
  • Robust ROE (~25%) and cash conversion
  • High beta and volatility balanced by solid balance‑sheet (low debt, positive free cash flow)

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth20.10%
Profit Margin4.13%
P/E Ratio32.3
ROE24.71%
ROA8.48%
Debt/Equity8.89
P/B Ratio7.5
Op. Cash Flow$298.5M
Free Cash Flow$177.3M
Industry P/E30.9

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI32.4
Support$315.40
Resistance$456.10
MA 20$392.82
MA 50$430.63
MA 200$310.90
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.39

Valuation

Fair Value$336.36
Target Price$433.00
Upside/Downside27.52%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.85
Volatility60.48%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.