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MYMK:NASDAQState Street My2031 Municipal Bond ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$24.89

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The MYMK ETF is trading at $24.885, which sits below its 20‑day ($24.994), 50‑day ($25.006) and 200‑day ($25.108) simple moving averages, indicating a short‑term bearish bias. RSI14 is at 31.8, signaling oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram remains negative, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Volume has been decreasing (today’s 320 shares versus a 10‑day average of 710), and the fund’s total assets are only about $10 million, suggesting heightened liquidity risk. Nonetheless, the ETF exhibits a very low beta of 0.04 and a modest 30‑day volatility of 1.93%, pointing to limited market‑wide risk. The YTD return of roughly 41% reflects recent price appreciation, but the max drawdown of just –2.43% underscores a relatively stable price floor near the identified support level of $24.875. The expense ratio is competitive at 0.20%, and tracking error is effectively zero, indicating strong alignment with its benchmark. Given the extreme greed sentiment in the broader market (Fear & Greed Index 89) and the fund’s target maturity in 2031, investors should weigh the current technical weakness against the long‑term payoff potential of a municipal bond ETF.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • price below key moving averages
  • decreasing trading volume and small asset base
  • oversold RSI but bearish MACD

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • target maturity in 2031 aligns with investor horizon
  • low volatility and near‑zero beta
  • competitive expense ratio and zero tracking error

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • principal return at 2031 maturity
  • tax‑free municipal exposure
  • stable price dynamics with limited drawdown

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.20%
AUM$10.0M
Inception Date2025-09-16
Avg Daily Volume710
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI31.8
Support$24.88
Resistance$25.28
MA 20$24.99
MA 50$25.01
MA 200$25.11
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.05

Risk Assessment

Beta0.04
Volatility1.93%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.