MYMK:NASDAQState Street My2031 Municipal Bond ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$24.89
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The MYMK ETF is trading at $24.885, which sits below its 20‑day ($24.994), 50‑day ($25.006) and 200‑day ($25.108) simple moving averages, indicating a short‑term bearish bias. RSI14 is at 31.8, signaling oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram remains negative, reinforcing the bearish momentum. Volume has been decreasing (today’s 320 shares versus a 10‑day average of 710), and the fund’s total assets are only about $10 million, suggesting heightened liquidity risk. Nonetheless, the ETF exhibits a very low beta of 0.04 and a modest 30‑day volatility of 1.93%, pointing to limited market‑wide risk. The YTD return of roughly 41% reflects recent price appreciation, but the max drawdown of just –2.43% underscores a relatively stable price floor near the identified support level of $24.875. The expense ratio is competitive at 0.20%, and tracking error is effectively zero, indicating strong alignment with its benchmark. Given the extreme greed sentiment in the broader market (Fear & Greed Index 89) and the fund’s target maturity in 2031, investors should weigh the current technical weakness against the long‑term payoff potential of a municipal bond ETF.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- price below key moving averages
- decreasing trading volume and small asset base
- oversold RSI but bearish MACD
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- target maturity in 2031 aligns with investor horizon
- low volatility and near‑zero beta
- competitive expense ratio and zero tracking error
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- principal return at 2031 maturity
- tax‑free municipal exposure
- stable price dynamics with limited drawdown
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.20%
AUM$10.0M
Inception Date2025-09-16
Avg Daily Volume710
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI31.8
Support$24.88
Resistance$25.28
MA 20$24.99
MA 50$25.01
MA 200$25.11
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.05
Risk Assessment
Beta0.04
Volatility1.93%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.