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MYMK:NASDAQState Street My2031 Municipal Bond ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-02 - not real-time

$24.79

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The ETF is trading at $24.785, barely above its 30‑day support level of $24.735 and just below the 20‑day SMA of 24.889, indicating limited upside in the near term. Both the 50‑day (24.955) and 200‑day (25.080) SMAs sit higher, reinforcing a bearish price bias. The 14‑day RSI of 32.4 suggests the fund is approaching oversold territory, which could attract contrarian buyers. Momentum indicators remain bearish, with the MACD line (-0.058) under the signal line (-0.049) and a negative histogram. Despite the downtrend, volume is on an increasing trajectory, hinting at growing participation as the price nears support. The fund’s beta of 0.04 and 30‑day volatility of just over 2 % underscore its ultra‑low sensitivity to broader market swings.
The expense ratio of 0.20 % is modest for a target‑maturity municipal ETF and, combined with zero tracking error, ensures tight cost control. A max drawdown of –2.9 % and a YTD return of roughly 1 % reflect a relatively stable performance in a low‑interest‑rate environment. Liquidity is modest, with daily volume around 1,466 shares, but the upward volume trend mitigates immediate execution concerns. Currency risk is negligible as the fund is USD‑denominated, and sector concentration risk is low given its diversified municipal bond exposure. The Fear & Greed Index at Extreme Greed (92.9) signals heightened market optimism, which can benefit fixed‑income assets with attractive yields. Overall, the combination of low volatility, limited drawdown, and modest cost makes the ETF a defensively positioned vehicle for investors seeking municipal exposure.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near support with oversold RSI
  • Increasing volume suggesting buying pressure
  • Ultra‑low beta and volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Target‑maturity profile aligns with 2031 horizon
  • Stable expense ratio and zero tracking error
  • Modest YTD performance

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Municipal bond tax advantages
  • Low drawdown history
  • Diversified exposure to municipal issuers

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.20%
AUM$10.0M
Inception Date2025-09-16
Avg Daily Volume490
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI32.4
Support$24.74
Resistance$25.09
MA 20$24.89
MA 50$24.96
MA 200$25.08
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Risk Assessment

Beta0.04
Volatility2.08%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.