MYMJ:NASDAQState Street My2030 Municipal Bond ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-22 - not real-time
$24.84
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
MYMJ is trading at $24.84, just above the identified support of $24.57 and below the resistance of $24.92, indicating limited upside in the immediate term. The 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs are virtually flat (≈$24.79‑$24.86), reinforcing a sideways price action. RSI sits at 58.9, suggesting the ETF is not yet overbought, while the MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is bullish, hinting at a mild underlying strength. However, the volume trend is decreasing and the technical trend direction is flagged as bearish, which tempers short‑term optimism. Volatility over the past 30 days is low at 1.56% and beta is near zero (0.03), underscoring the fund’s insulation from broader market swings. The fund’s max drawdown of just -1.9% and an expense ratio of 0.20% further highlight its defensive profile. YTD performance is exceptional at +87%, driven by the fund’s target‑maturity municipal bond strategy and a solid 2.98% dividend yield. The latest 30‑day SEC yield of 2.93% and upcoming dividend payment (June 4) provide attractive income. The Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed” (91.46), suggesting investor enthusiasm may be inflating valuations. Overall, the ETF offers a low‑risk, income‑focused exposure with modest upside potential pending any shift in the broader municipal bond environment.
Investors should weigh the strong income profile against the near‑term bearish technical signals and limited liquidity.
Investors should weigh the strong income profile against the near‑term bearish technical signals and limited liquidity.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price near support with bearish technical trend
- decreasing volume indicating liquidity constraints
- high YTD return may be pricing in future gains
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- robust dividend yield and SEC yield
- low volatility and near‑zero beta
- target‑maturity municipal bonds expected to remain stable
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- expense ratio remains low
- municipal bond credit quality stable
- potential for modest capital appreciation as bonds approach 2030 maturity
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.20%
AUM$12.4M
Inception Date2024-09-23
Avg Daily Volume1,030
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield2.98%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI58.9
Support$24.57
Resistance$24.92
MA 20$24.79
MA 50$24.80
MA 200$24.86
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Risk Assessment
Beta0.03
Volatility1.56%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.