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MYCM:NASDAQState Street My2033 Corporate Bond ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-30 - not real-time

$24.74

Latest Price

3/10Risk

Risk Level: Low

Executive Summary

The ETF is trading at $24.74, just below the short‑term resistance of $24.78, suggesting limited upside in the near term. Its price sits beneath the 20‑day (24.63), 50‑day (24.70) and 200‑day (24.93) simple moving averages, confirming a bearish trend. However, the MACD histogram has turned positive (0.023) and the MACD signal is flagged “bullish,” indicating a potential short‑term reversal. Volume is on an increasing trajectory, supporting the technical optimism. The RSI at 55 is neutral, giving the ETF room to move higher without being overbought. Volatility over the past 30 days is modest at 4.2%, and the beta of 0.13 points to minimal market‑wide risk.
The fund’s max drawdown of only 3.5% underscores its resilience during recent market stress. With a dividend yield of 4.73% and an expense ratio of 0.15%, the ETF offers attractive income at low cost. Tracking error is zero and there is no premium/discount, indicating precise replication of its benchmark. Liquidity is constrained, as average daily volume hovers around 2,600 shares and today’s volume was 1,437, creating a medium‑level liquidity risk. The broader market sentiment is in “Extreme Greed” (Fear & Greed Index 94), which typically favors higher‑yielding assets. Overall, the combination of low volatility, solid yield, and technical signs of a bounce makes the fund a compelling hold for income‑focused investors while remaining cautious of short‑term price ceilings.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Positive MACD histogram indicating potential reversal
  • Increasing volume supports bullish momentum
  • Price near resistance limiting upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive 4.73% dividend yield
  • Low beta (0.13) reduces market risk
  • Zero tracking error ensures benchmark alignment

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Low volatility and max drawdown under 4%
  • Target maturity aligns with 2033 providing predictable cash flow
  • Extreme greed market sentiment favors higher yielding bonds

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.15%
AUM$7.4M
Inception Date2024-09-23
Avg Daily Volume8,660
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield4.73%

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI55.3
Support$24.38
Resistance$24.78
MA 20$24.63
MA 50$24.70
MA 200$24.93
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.07

Risk Assessment

Beta0.13
Volatility4.23%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.