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MYCJ:NASDAQState Street My2030 Corporate Bond ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time

$24.64

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The MYCJ ETF has delivered a strong YTD return of 38.45% while offering a solid 4.67% dividend yield, positioning it as an attractive income play. Technical indicators, however, signal caution: the price of $24.64 sits below the 20‑day (24.71), 50‑day (24.76) and 200‑day (24.96) moving averages, the RSI is at 43 and the MACD histogram remains negative, suggesting a short‑term bearish bias. On the upside, the fund’s volatility is modest at 3.14% (30‑day), beta is exceptionally low at 0.08, and the expense ratio is a mere 0.15%, all of which support a low‑risk profile. Market sentiment is buoyant, reflected by an extreme greed index of 91.45, and trading volume is trending upward, indicating growing investor interest.
Liquidity remains a consideration given the modest daily volume (≈5,500 shares) and total assets of about $39.6 million, which could lead to medium‑level liquidity risk if large orders are placed. The fund’s max drawdown of -2.70% is limited, and with no tracking error or discount/premium, price movements are closely tied to the underlying corporate bond basket. Overall, investors should weigh the compelling yield and low volatility against the bearish technical setup and liquidity constraints when deciding on exposure to MYCJ.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price trading below key moving averages
  • Negative MACD histogram
  • Attractive dividend yield

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Low expense ratio and minimal tracking error
  • Low beta and modest volatility
  • Strong YTD performance and high investor sentiment

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Target maturity in 2030 aligns with a multi‑year horizon
  • Potential principal return as bonds mature
  • Liquidity considerations as assets remain modest

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.15%
AUM$39.6M
Inception Date2024-09-23
Avg Daily Volume6,400
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield4.67%

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI43.0
Support$24.52
Resistance$24.89
MA 20$24.71
MA 50$24.76
MA 200$24.96
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.45

Risk Assessment

Beta0.08
Volatility3.14%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.