MUTH:INDEXTSX Percent Above 200-Day Average Yesterday Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time
₹201.05
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Muthoot Capital Services is trading around INR 201, just above its immediate support of ~INR 194 and well below the 52‑week high of INR 366. The stock’s 20‑day SMA (≈206) sits marginally above the current price, while the 200‑day SMA (≈248) signals a longer‑term downtrend. Technicals are mixed: RSI is neutral at 48, but the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, coupled with a decreasing volume trend, suggesting short‑term pressure. Fundamentally, the company carries a high PE of ~29.5 versus an industry average of 16.5, indicating it is priced for growth despite modest revenue contraction (-0.5%) and thin profit margins (3.5%). Balance sheet risks are pronounced, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 480 and operating cash outflows, though the firm holds sizable cash reserves (~INR 5.2 bn) and a low price‑to‑book of 0.49. The market sentiment is bullish (Fear & Greed Index 92.9 – “Extreme Greed”), but the underlying volatility is high (43% 30‑day) and liquidity is weakening, warranting caution.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and decreasing volume suggest limited upside
- Price is near immediate support, limiting downside risk
- Neutral RSI indicates no strong momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- High PE relative to peers implies valuation pressure
- Strong cash buffer offsets some balance‑sheet stress
- Operating margin improvement offers modest earnings upside
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Low price‑to‑book provides a value cushion
- Growing demand for credit services in India
- Potential debt restructuring could improve financial health
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-0.50%
Profit Margin3.52%
P/E Ratio29.6
ROE1.68%
ROA0.29%
Debt/Equity482.10
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash Flow₹-3753732096
Industry P/E16.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI47.6
Support₹194.02
Resistance₹230.00
MA 20₹206.51
MA 50₹200.04
MA 200₹248.34
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.89
Valuation
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.58
Volatility43.52%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.