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MUTH:INDEXTSX Percent Above 200-Day Average Yesterday Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time

₹201.05

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Muthoot Capital Services is trading around INR 201, just above its immediate support of ~INR 194 and well below the 52‑week high of INR 366. The stock’s 20‑day SMA (≈206) sits marginally above the current price, while the 200‑day SMA (≈248) signals a longer‑term downtrend. Technicals are mixed: RSI is neutral at 48, but the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is bearish, coupled with a decreasing volume trend, suggesting short‑term pressure. Fundamentally, the company carries a high PE of ~29.5 versus an industry average of 16.5, indicating it is priced for growth despite modest revenue contraction (-0.5%) and thin profit margins (3.5%). Balance sheet risks are pronounced, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio exceeding 480 and operating cash outflows, though the firm holds sizable cash reserves (~INR 5.2 bn) and a low price‑to‑book of 0.49. The market sentiment is bullish (Fear & Greed Index 92.9 – “Extreme Greed”), but the underlying volatility is high (43% 30‑day) and liquidity is weakening, warranting caution.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume suggest limited upside
  • Price is near immediate support, limiting downside risk
  • Neutral RSI indicates no strong momentum

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High PE relative to peers implies valuation pressure
  • Strong cash buffer offsets some balance‑sheet stress
  • Operating margin improvement offers modest earnings upside

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Low price‑to‑book provides a value cushion
  • Growing demand for credit services in India
  • Potential debt restructuring could improve financial health

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.50%
Profit Margin3.52%
P/E Ratio29.6
ROE1.68%
ROA0.29%
Debt/Equity482.10
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash Flow₹-3753732096
Industry P/E16.5

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI47.6
Support₹194.02
Resistance₹230.00
MA 20₹206.51
MA 50₹200.04
MA 200₹248.34
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.89

Valuation

GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.58
Volatility43.52%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.