MTN:JSEMTN Group Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-26 - not real-time
ZAC 18,745.00
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind MTN Group Limited is neutral at ZAC 18,745.00, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. It has lost 18.3% over the past 30 days. Momentum indicators put RSI at 33.8 (approaching oversold) with MACD reading bearish. Watch ZAC 18,536.00 as support and ZAC 53,780.00 as the nearer resistance level.
The shares look fair, trading on 19.6 times earnings above a sector average of 16.4. Sell-side targets cluster 20.6% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 8.8% on a 7.5% profit margin. The 2.64% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 5 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 45.3%, a beta of -0.13 and a maximum drawdown of 20.0%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 3/10 conviction.
The shares look fair, trading on 19.6 times earnings above a sector average of 16.4. Sell-side targets cluster 20.6% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 8.8% on a 7.5% profit margin. The 2.64% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 5 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 45.3%, a beta of -0.13 and a maximum drawdown of 20.0%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 3/10 conviction.
Top Market Events
MTN Group has announced a R6 billion $375 million share repurchase programme as the telecommunications giant reported...Moneyweb7dMTN GROUP LIMITED – MTN Rwanda results released for the six-month period ended 30 June 2026MTN shareholders...Moneyweb2dMTN GROUP LIMITED – Interim financial results for the six months ended 30 June 2026MTN Group Limited...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 19576.98
- MACD momentum is negative
- 30-day price change of -18.3%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 19.6 versus sector average of 16.4
- Trading below the 200-day average of 19576.98
- Analyst targets imply +20.6% versus the current price
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 19.6 versus sector average of 16.4
- Analyst targets imply +20.6% versus the current price
- Return on equity of 16.7%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth8.80%
Profit Margin7.52%
P/E Ratio19.6
ROE16.70%
ROA10.00%
Debt/Equity93.68
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash FlowZAC83.1B
Free Cash FlowZAC38.2B
Industry P/E16.4
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI33.8
SupportZAC 18,536.00
ResistanceZAC 53,780.00
MA 20ZAC 19,899.25
MA 50ZAC 21,570.84
MA 200ZAC 19,576.98
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.41
Valuation
Fair ValueZAC 32,444.12
Target PriceZAC 22,600.00
Upside/Downside20.57%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.64%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.13
Volatility45.33%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.