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MSMR:CFIMCLHNY SHFLD ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time

$36.81

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

MSMR is trading at $36.81, comfortably above its 20‑day ($36.34), 50‑day ($35.30) and 200‑day ($34.61) simple moving averages, signaling a sustained uptrend. The 14‑day RSI at 63.8 confirms bullish momentum without entering overbought territory. MACD remains bullish with the line (0.48) edging above its signal (0.47) and a positive histogram, reinforcing the trend. The ETF sits near its immediate resistance of $37.15 while holding a solid support base at $35.28, giving it a clear price corridor. Trading volume has slipped to 1,720 shares versus a 10‑day average of 15,640, indicating a weakening participation that could temper short‑term moves. The market sentiment gauge sits at an “Extreme Greed” level of 90.55, suggesting that broader investor enthusiasm is high. Overall, the technical picture remains bullish but is tempered by fading volume.
Fundamentally, MSMR has delivered a 5.46% year‑to‑date return and a 19.8% annualized return over the past three years, supported by a dividend yield of 1.88%. Its beta of 0.74 points to lower volatility than the broader market, while the 30‑day volatility of 8.53% is modest for an equity‑focused ETF. The maximum drawdown of 7.3% underscores a relatively contained downside risk. With a tracking error of zero and no premium/discount, the ETF tracks its underlying strategy tightly. The expense ratio of 1.06% is higher than many passive ETFs, representing a cost consideration for long‑term investors. Liquidity is moderate; assets of $166 million provide depth, but the low daily volume may affect execution of large trades. Given these characteristics, the ETF appears suitable for investors seeking a balanced risk‑adjusted exposure with a modest income component.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance at $37.15
  • Decreasing trading volume
  • Extreme Greed market sentiment

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price above all SMAs indicating bullish trend
  • Low beta (0.74) reducing market risk
  • Dividend yield of 1.88% enhancing total return

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Consistent YTD and 3‑year returns
  • Zero tracking error ensuring strategy fidelity
  • Moderate allocation providing diversified risk profile

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio1.06%
AUM$166.4M
Inception Date2021-11-16
Avg Daily Volume15,640
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.88%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI63.8
Support$35.28
Resistance$37.15
MA 20$36.34
MA 50$35.30
MA 200$34.61
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.55

Risk Assessment

Beta0.74
Volatility8.53%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.