MSCI:NYSEMSCI Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-18 - not real-time
$568.55
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
MSCI is trading well above its short‑term and longer‑term moving averages, with momentum indicators showing a bullish MACD histogram while the overall trend remains bearish.
The relative strength index sits in the upper‑mid range, suggesting limited upside momentum, and the stock exhibits high recent volatility but a relatively low beta, indicating modest systematic risk. Fundamentals reveal strong gross and operating margins, robust free cash flow, and a modest dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio, yet valuation metrics are stretched far beyond industry averages and the discounted‑cash‑flow estimate. Recent strategic moves, such as the acquisition of a private‑markets data firm, and upcoming earnings release provide potential catalysts, but the current price premium and bearish technical bias suggest caution.
The relative strength index sits in the upper‑mid range, suggesting limited upside momentum, and the stock exhibits high recent volatility but a relatively low beta, indicating modest systematic risk. Fundamentals reveal strong gross and operating margins, robust free cash flow, and a modest dividend yield with a comfortable payout ratio, yet valuation metrics are stretched far beyond industry averages and the discounted‑cash‑flow estimate. Recent strategic moves, such as the acquisition of a private‑markets data firm, and upcoming earnings release provide potential catalysts, but the current price premium and bearish technical bias suggest caution.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price trading above key moving averages with limited upside
- overvaluation relative to peers and intrinsic estimate
- upcoming earnings could confirm or worsen the bearish bias
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- strong recurring revenue from index licensing and ESG data
- recent acquisition expanding private‑markets analytics
- solid cash generation supporting dividend and reinvestment
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- industry leadership in data, analytics, and ESG solutions
- high operating margins and sustainable dividend payout
- global client base reducing geographic concentration risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth10.60%
Profit Margin38.36%
P/E Ratio36.2
ROA19.17%
P/B Ratio-15.8
Op. Cash Flow$1.6B
Free Cash Flow$1.2B
Industry P/E17.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI59.1
Support$520.00
Resistance$572.90
MA 20$545.44
MA 50$548.49
MA 200$562.49
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index90.21
Valuation
Fair Value$255.27
Target Price$668.81
Upside/Downside17.63%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.44%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.60
Volatility24.56%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.