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MSC:NYSEStudio City International Holdings Limited Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time

$2.48

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Studio City International Holdings (MSC) is trading at $2.48, well below its 20‑day ($2.48), 50‑day ($2.63) and 200‑day ($3.46) simple moving averages, indicating a bearish price trajectory. Technical signals are mixed: the RSI sits at 48, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram shows a modest bullish tilt, yet the overall trend remains bearish and volume is decreasing. Volatility is extreme, with a 30‑day standard deviation of 86% and a historic max drawdown of 55%, compounded by a negative beta of –0.92 that implies inverse market correlation. Fundamentally, the company posts a negative profit margin (‑5.6%) and a trailing EPS of –$0.20, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio soaring above 368, while cash reserves cover less than 5% of total debt. The price‑to‑book of 0.95 and price‑to‑sales of 0.67 suggest a discount relative to assets, but the lack of earnings, high leverage, and zero cash flow raise sustainability concerns. Recent unaudited Q1 2026 earnings were released, but no material improvement in profitability or cash generation was disclosed, leaving investors with limited upside catalysts. The market sentiment, reflected by an “Extreme Greed” index of 91, may be more speculative than fundamentals justify. Given these dynamics, MSC appears positioned for continued pressure unless a clear turnaround in operations or capital structure emerges.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major moving averages
  • Decreasing trading volume and high short‑term volatility
  • Mixed technical signals with bearish overall trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Significant debt burden limiting operational flexibility
  • Absence of positive cash flow and negative earnings
  • Potential upside from asset‑light valuation relative to book

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained negative profitability and high leverage
  • Concentration in Macau’s regulated casino market
  • Elevated volatility and historical drawdown risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth9.30%
Profit Margin-5.63%
P/E Ratio-24.7
ROE-7.46%
ROA1.88%
Debt/Equity368.29
P/B Ratio0.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI48.4
Support$2.10
Resistance$3.42
MA 20$2.48
MA 50$2.63
MA 200$3.46
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.04

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.92
Volatility85.98%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.