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MSBIP:NASDAQMidland States Bancorp, Inc. - Depositary Shares Each Representing a 1/40th Interest in a Share of 7.750% Fixed-Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Perpetual Preferred St Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$25.31

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Midland States Bancorp (MSBIP) is trading in a tight bullish channel with the 20‑day SMA (≈$25.29) just above the 50‑day SMA (≈$25.13) and the 200‑day SMA (≈$24.68), indicating short‑term momentum is intact. Technical indicators such as a bullish MACD crossover, a neutral RSI at 52, and stable volume support a continuation of the current uptrend, while price sits comfortably above the identified support level of $25.06 and below resistance at $25.55. Fundamentally, the bank posted a 14% revenue growth year‑over‑year, strong operating margins (34%) and a healthy profit margin (12.8%), yet earnings per share are reported as zero, making the traditional PE ratio unavailable. The dividend yield is notably high at 7.66% following a recent $0.32 per share cash dividend declaration, but the payout ratio is listed as 0%, raising questions about long‑term sustainability despite solid operating cash flow. Low beta (≈0.09) and modest 30‑day volatility (≈8%) suggest limited market risk, though liquidity is thin with average daily volume under 4,000 shares.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical setup with price above support and near resistance
  • High dividend yield attracting income investors
  • Stable volume and low beta reducing short‑term market volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and operating margins
  • Uncertainty around dividend sustainability due to zero EPS
  • Continued bullish momentum but limited liquidity

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Solid fundamentals in a stable regional banking sector
  • Potential strain from high debt relative to cash reserves
  • Dividend yield may be pressured if earnings do not materialize

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth14.30%
Profit Margin12.81%
ROE6.22%
ROA0.51%
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$117.9M
Industry P/E16.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI52.2
Support$25.06
Resistance$25.55
MA 20$25.29
MA 50$25.13
MA 200$24.68
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.23

Valuation

GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield7.66%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.09
Volatility7.95%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.