MS:NYSEMorgan Stanley Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
$214.04
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Morgan Stanley is trading at $214.04, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 205.57 and its 50‑day SMA of 193.95, confirming a bullish price trend. The RSI of 63.3 signals continued momentum, yet the MACD histogram has turned negative, hinting at short‑term weakness. Support sits around $188.94 while resistance caps near $219.16, just a few dollars above the current level. A beta of 1.40 and a 30‑day volatility of 27% underscore heightened price swings, and the Fear‑Greed Index at 89.86 reflects extreme market optimism. Fundamentally, revenue grew 16% YoY to $73.2 B with a robust gross margin of 87% and operating margin over 40%. The trailing P/E of 19.4 exceeds the industry average of 16.8, suggesting the stock may be priced at a premium. Nevertheless, the dividend yield of 1.87% and a modest payout ratio of 35% appear sustainable given the massive cash hoard of $663 B. Analysts rate the stock a “Buy” with a mean target of $203.7, which is below today’s price, indicating limited upside in the near term. Recent news of opening its ShareWorks platform to external AI agents could unlock new revenue streams and enhance client stickiness. Overall, the stock sits at a crossroads between strong earnings momentum and technical signs of a short‑term pullback.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near 52‑week high with limited upside
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating potential pullback
- High beta and volatility amplifying short‑term risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth and high profitability margins
- Innovative AI integration opening new fee‑based revenue
- Sustainable dividend supporting total return
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Elevated debt levels offset by massive cash reserves
- Regulatory environment for large banks remains uncertain
- Valuation trading at a fair multiple relative to peers
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth16.30%
Profit Margin24.75%
P/E Ratio19.4
ROE16.39%
ROA1.27%
Debt/Equity502.25
P/B Ratio3.2
Op. Cash Flow$-1011000000
Industry P/E16.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI63.3
Support$188.94
Resistance$219.16
MA 20$205.57
MA 50$193.95
MA 200$174.11
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Target Price$203.67
Upside/Downside-4.85%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.87%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.40
Volatility27.13%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.