MRP:JSEMr Price Group Limited Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-02 - not real-time
ZAC 17,477.00
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Mr Price Group is trading at ZAc 17,477, just above its 20‑day SMA of 17,030 and below the 200‑day SMA of 18,042, indicating a price that is still within a neutral range. The 14‑day RSI sits at 59, well under the overbought threshold, while the MACD histogram remains positive (≈25) and the signal line is bullish, suggesting modest upward momentum. Volume has been on a decreasing trend, which tempers short‑term enthusiasm, but the stock enjoys a low beta of 0.15 and a relatively modest 30‑day volatility of 46%, underscoring its defensive character. On the fundamentals side, the company delivers a solid 6.59% dividend yield with a payout ratio near 65%, supported by strong operating cash flow and a free cash flow generation of over ZAc 3 bn. Valuation metrics show a trailing P/E of 12.4x and a DCF‑derived fair value of 16,716, implying a modest upside of roughly 38% versus the current price. The Fear & Greed Index is at an “Extreme Greed” level (91.8), indicating bullish market sentiment that could lift the stock further in the near term.
Given the blend of stable cash generation, attractive dividend, and a valuation that appears roughly fair, the longer‑term outlook remains positive. Revenue growth of about 3.3% and a healthy gross margin of 42.6% provide a modest growth tail, while the diversified retail and financial services platform cushions the company against sector‑specific headwinds. The support level of 14,632 offers a clear downside buffer, and the resistance around 17,989 aligns with the current price, suggesting limited upside pressure in the immediate term but room for a gradual climb as sentiment stays bullish.
Given the blend of stable cash generation, attractive dividend, and a valuation that appears roughly fair, the longer‑term outlook remains positive. Revenue growth of about 3.3% and a healthy gross margin of 42.6% provide a modest growth tail, while the diversified retail and financial services platform cushions the company against sector‑specific headwinds. The support level of 14,632 offers a clear downside buffer, and the resistance around 17,989 aligns with the current price, suggesting limited upside pressure in the immediate term but room for a gradual climb as sentiment stays bullish.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD with positive histogram
- Strong dividend yield providing income cushion
- Decreasing volume and neutral price trend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value suggests ~38% upside
- Low beta and defensive volatility profile
- Sustainable dividend supported by solid cash flow
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Diversified retail and financial services business model
- Consistent earnings and ROE around 26%
- Attractive dividend yield with manageable payout ratio
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth3.30%
Profit Margin8.80%
P/E Ratio12.4
ROE25.88%
ROA10.29%
Debt/Equity102.25
P/B Ratio3.1
Op. Cash FlowZAC8.0B
Free Cash FlowZAC3.1B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI59.2
SupportZAC 14,632.00
ResistanceZAC 17,989.00
MA 20ZAC 17,030.55
MA 50ZAC 16,151.84
MA 200ZAC 18,041.67
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.8
Valuation
Fair ValueZAC 16,716.79
Target PriceZAC 24,069.96
Upside/Downside37.72%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield6.59%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.15
Volatility46.49%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.