MRO:LSEMelrose Industries PLC Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-21 - not real-time
£471.00
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Melrose Industries is trading below its longer‑term moving averages, with the price sitting under the 50‑day and 200‑day trends while edging just above the short‑term average. Technical indicators show a neutral RSI near the midpoint and a bullish MACD histogram, suggesting emerging upside momentum despite a broader bearish market bias. Fundamentally, the company trades at a price‑earnings multiple that is well under the sector average, delivering solid operating margins and a healthy free cash flow stream that comfortably covers its dividend, which is supported by a modest payout ratio. Recent market chatter highlighted a modest rally in the stock, reinforcing the notion that sentiment may be turning more positive. Together, the valuation gap, sustainable dividend and early technical signs point to a potential upside, though the high leverage and elevated volatility warrant a measured approach.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram indicating short‑term momentum
- Price near key support level providing downside cushion
- Valuation still below fair value offering limited immediate upside
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervaluation relative to industry peers
- Strong free cash flow supporting dividend and debt servicing
- Improving earnings outlook reflected in forward earnings estimates
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- DCF analysis shows substantial intrinsic value above current price
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
- Strategic position in aerospace and industrial machinery with long‑term demand
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth8.30%
Profit Margin10.31%
P/E Ratio16.2
ROE13.05%
ROA4.96%
Debt/Equity67.56
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow£214.0M
Free Cash Flow£476.0M
Industry P/E31.4
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI48.3
Support£443.36
Resistance£511.00
MA 20£467.42
MA 50£491.63
MA 200£570.13
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.46
Valuation
Fair Value£575.17
Target Price£683.53
Upside/Downside45.12%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.53%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.62
Volatility33.58%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.