MRAL:NASDAQGraniteShares 2x Long MARA Daily ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-12 - not real-time
$29.90
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
At $29.90, GraniteShares 2x Long MARA Daily ETF shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. The last 30 days have lost 58.0%. With RSI at 35.3 the momentum picture is approaching oversold, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Recent trading has carved out support near $28.50 and resistance around $58.75.
The 1.50% expense ratio is expensive for its category, and the fund manages $43.8M in assets.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 8 — high. With 30-day volatility of 186.2%, a beta of 6.58 and a maximum drawdown of 93.5%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
The 1.50% expense ratio is expensive for its category, and the fund manages $43.8M in assets.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 8 — high. With 30-day volatility of 186.2%, a beta of 6.58 and a maximum drawdown of 93.5%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is sell while the long-term read is hold, conviction 3 out of 10.
Top Market Events
New York, July 14, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- GraniteShares Advisors LLC 'GraniteShares' announces that, following market...New York, July 14, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- GraniteShares Advisors LLC 'GraniteShares' announces that, following market...Yahoo Finance28dGraniteShares 2x Long LCID Daily ETF Nasdaq: LCDL Fund Delisting – Negative NAVThe above button links...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 64.51
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 64.51
- 30-day volatility of 186.2%
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- High expense ratio of 1.50%
- 30-day volatility of 186.2%
- Beta of 6.58 versus the benchmark
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio1.50%
AUM$43.8M
Inception Date2025-03-06
Avg Daily Volume100,100
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI35.3
Support$28.50
Resistance$58.75
MA 20$42.60
MA 50$57.55
MA 200$64.51
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.7
Risk Assessment
Beta6.58
Volatility186.21%
Sector RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.