MPX:NYSEMarine Products Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$8.18
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Marine Products (MPX) trades at $8.18, slightly above its DCF fair value of $7.55, indicating a modest premium. The stock sits just above its 20‑day SMA (8.08) and 50‑day SMA (7.60) while the 200‑day SMA (8.46) remains higher, suggesting a neutral longer‑term trend but a short‑term bias toward the upside, reinforced by a bullish MACD crossover and an RSI of 55. Volume is increasing and the market is in an “Extreme Greed” phase (fear‑greed index 89), yet the 30‑day volatility of ~32% and beta of ~1.06 imply heightened price swings. The company boasts a high dividend yield of 6.85% but a payout ratio of 280%, raising concerns about sustainability. Recent news of MasterCraft’s acquisition of MPX adds a material catalyst that could reshape earnings, but integration risk and the current overvaluation temper enthusiasm.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and rising volume support a near‑term price floor
- Current price exceeds DCF fair value, limiting upside
- High dividend payout ratio threatens near‑term cash flow
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Acquisition by MasterCraft could unlock synergies and improve forward earnings
- Forward PE of 16.4 suggests valuation compression potential
- Improved cash generation and low debt provide a cushion for growth
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Consumer‑cyclical exposure makes earnings sensitive to economic swings
- Dividend sustainability concerns may lead to payout cuts
- Valuation gap between market price and intrinsic value remains
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth12.80%
Profit Margin2.82%
P/E Ratio40.9
ROE5.82%
ROA5.33%
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$14.7M
Free Cash Flow$9.6M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI55.1
Support$7.67
Resistance$8.99
MA 20$8.08
MA 50$7.60
MA 200$8.46
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.16
Valuation
Fair Value$7.55
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield6.85%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.06
Volatility31.93%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.