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MPX:NYSEMarine Products Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$8.18

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Marine Products (MPX) trades at $8.18, slightly above its DCF fair value of $7.55, indicating a modest premium. The stock sits just above its 20‑day SMA (8.08) and 50‑day SMA (7.60) while the 200‑day SMA (8.46) remains higher, suggesting a neutral longer‑term trend but a short‑term bias toward the upside, reinforced by a bullish MACD crossover and an RSI of 55. Volume is increasing and the market is in an “Extreme Greed” phase (fear‑greed index 89), yet the 30‑day volatility of ~32% and beta of ~1.06 imply heightened price swings. The company boasts a high dividend yield of 6.85% but a payout ratio of 280%, raising concerns about sustainability. Recent news of MasterCraft’s acquisition of MPX adds a material catalyst that could reshape earnings, but integration risk and the current overvaluation temper enthusiasm.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and rising volume support a near‑term price floor
  • Current price exceeds DCF fair value, limiting upside
  • High dividend payout ratio threatens near‑term cash flow

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Acquisition by MasterCraft could unlock synergies and improve forward earnings
  • Forward PE of 16.4 suggests valuation compression potential
  • Improved cash generation and low debt provide a cushion for growth

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Consumer‑cyclical exposure makes earnings sensitive to economic swings
  • Dividend sustainability concerns may lead to payout cuts
  • Valuation gap between market price and intrinsic value remains

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth12.80%
Profit Margin2.82%
P/E Ratio40.9
ROE5.82%
ROA5.33%
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$14.7M
Free Cash Flow$9.6M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI55.1
Support$7.67
Resistance$8.99
MA 20$8.08
MA 50$7.60
MA 200$8.46
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.16

Valuation

Fair Value$7.55
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield6.85%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.06
Volatility31.93%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.