MPC:NYSEMarathon Petroleum Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-26 - not real-time
$354.88
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Marathon Petroleum Corporation is priced at $354.88 and its moving averages line up in bullish order, the shorter sitting above the longer. Across the trailing 30 sessions it gained 17.0%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 65.4 (approaching overbought) with MACD reading bullish. Watch $290.36 as support and $367.60 as the nearer resistance level.
The shares look fair, trading on 12.6 times earnings below a sector average of 20.9. The average analyst target implies 8.5% below today's level. Revenue is growing at 53.7% on a 5.5% profit margin. The 1.10% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 37.5%, a beta of -0.11 and a maximum drawdown of 18.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on buy, with conviction of 6/10.
The shares look fair, trading on 12.6 times earnings below a sector average of 20.9. The average analyst target implies 8.5% below today's level. Revenue is growing at 53.7% on a 5.5% profit margin. The 1.10% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 4/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 37.5%, a beta of -0.11 and a maximum drawdown of 18.7%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 93 on the fear-greed composite.
Short, medium and long-term reads agree on buy, with conviction of 6/10.
Top Market Events
Updated Jun 16, 2026 0 FINDLAY, Ohio, June 16, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Marathon Petroleum Corp.Refining margins did the heavy lifting: R&M margin more than doubled to $36.Marathon Petroleum MPC has recently been on Zacks.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 234.45
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- P/E of 12.6 versus sector average of 20.9
- Trading above the 200-day average of 234.45
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 12.6 versus sector average of 20.9
- Analyst targets imply -8.5% versus the current price
- Revenue growth of +53.7%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth53.70%
Profit Margin5.55%
P/E Ratio12.6
ROE42.10%
ROA8.74%
Debt/Equity133.33
P/B Ratio5.3
Op. Cash Flow$17.1B
Free Cash Flow$9.2B
Industry P/E20.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI65.4
Support$290.36
Resistance$367.60
MA 20$334.62
MA 50$301.38
MA 200$234.45
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.36
Valuation
Fair Value$1,054.08
Target Price$324.56
Upside/Downside-8.54%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.10%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.11
Volatility37.51%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.