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MPAA:NASDAQMotorcar Parts of America, Inc. analysis

Data as of Oct 2, 2026 - not real-time

Latest price
$10.53
Risk: medium
7/10Medium risk

Summary

Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. trades at $10.53, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 10.5%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 38.0 (approaching oversold) with MACD reading bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near $10.13 and resistance around $12.13.
The shares look undervalued at 6.1 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. Sell-side targets cluster 70.9% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 10.8% on a -0.5% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 7 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 31.8%, a beta of 0.65 and a maximum drawdown of 46.3%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 1 out of 10.

Top market events

  • Despite a softer first quarter impacted by order timing and FX, the company reaffirms its full-year outlook, driven by...
  • Despite a softer first quarter impacted by order timing and FX, the company reaffirms its full-year outlook, driven by...
  • Motorcar Parts of America NASDAQ:MPAA reaffirmed its fiscal 2027 outlook after reporting first-quarter sales that were...

Market outlook

Short term

< 1 year

Neutral

Model confidence2/102 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 12.04
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium term

1–3 years

Neutral

Model confidence1/101 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 12.04
  • Analyst targets imply +70.9% versus the current price

Long term

> 3 years

Neutral

Model confidence1/101 out of 10

Key factors

  • Negative profit margin of -0.5%
  • Analyst targets imply +70.9% versus the current price
  • Negative return on equity of -1.6%

Key metrics

Financial health

Revenue Growth-10.80%
Profit Margin-0.53%
P/E Ratio6.1
ROE-1.59%
ROA3.31%
Debt/Equity92.04
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$-2173000
Free Cash Flow$-22959624

Technical analysis

TrendBearish
RSI38.0
Support$10.13
Resistance$12.13
MA 20$10.83
MA 50$11.86
MA 200$12.04
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.09

Valuation

Target Price$18.00
Upside/Downside70.94%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk assessment

Beta0.65
Volatility31.76%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.