MPAA:NASDAQMotorcar Parts of America, Inc. analysis
Data as of Oct 2, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $10.53
- Risk: medium
- 7/10Medium risk
Summary
Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. trades at $10.53, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 10.5%. Momentum indicators put RSI at 38.0 (approaching oversold) with MACD reading bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near $10.13 and resistance around $12.13.
The shares look undervalued at 6.1 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. Sell-side targets cluster 70.9% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 10.8% on a -0.5% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 7 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 31.8%, a beta of 0.65 and a maximum drawdown of 46.3%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 1 out of 10.
The shares look undervalued at 6.1 times earnings, though no sector average was available for comparison. Sell-side targets cluster 70.9% above the current quote. Revenue is contracting at 10.8% on a -0.5% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 7 — elevated. With 30-day volatility of 31.8%, a beta of 0.65 and a maximum drawdown of 46.3%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: hold, at a conviction of 1 out of 10.
Top market events
- Despite a softer first quarter impacted by order timing and FX, the company reaffirms its full-year outlook, driven by...
- Despite a softer first quarter impacted by order timing and FX, the company reaffirms its full-year outlook, driven by...
- Motorcar Parts of America NASDAQ:MPAA reaffirmed its fiscal 2027 outlook after reporting first-quarter sales that were...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 12.04
- MACD momentum is positive
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence1/101 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- Trading below the 200-day average of 12.04
- Analyst targets imply +70.9% versus the current price
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence1/101 out of 10
Key factors
- Negative profit margin of -0.5%
- Analyst targets imply +70.9% versus the current price
- Negative return on equity of -1.6%
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth-10.80%
Profit Margin-0.53%
P/E Ratio6.1
ROE-1.59%
ROA3.31%
Debt/Equity92.04
P/B Ratio0.8
Op. Cash Flow$-2173000
Free Cash Flow$-22959624
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI38.0
Support$10.13
Resistance$12.13
MA 20$10.83
MA 50$11.86
MA 200$12.04
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.09
Valuation
Target Price$18.00
Upside/Downside70.94%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk assessment
Beta0.65
Volatility31.76%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar tickers
DNMX
Dynamix Corporation III
stockZENA
ZenaTech, Inc.
stockZBIO
Zenas BioPharma, Inc.
stockABCL
AbCellera Biologics Inc.
stockWTFCN
Wintrust Financial Corporation - Depositary Shares, Each Representing a 1/1,000th Interest in a Share of 7.875% Fixed-Rate Reset Non-Cumulative Perpetual Prefer
stockWSTN
Westin Acquisition Corp
stockThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.