MP:NYSEMP Materials Corp. analysis
Data as of Sep 20, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $47.26
- Risk: high
- 9/10High risk
Summary
The moving-average structure behind MP Materials Corp. is neutral at $47.26, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. Relative strength is 35.6 — approaching oversold — and the MACD signal is bearish. Price has been bracketed by support at $47.26 and resistance at $62.47.
Valuation screens as fair, on a P/E of 54.1 with no clean sector comparison available. Analyst price targets sit 57.2% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 119.7% on a -14.6% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 9 — high. With 30-day volatility of 58.5%, a beta of 2.23 and a maximum drawdown of 61.4%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: sell, at a conviction of 4 out of 10.
Valuation screens as fair, on a P/E of 54.1 with no clean sector comparison available. Analyst price targets sit 57.2% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 119.7% on a -14.6% profit margin.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 9 — high. With 30-day volatility of 58.5%, a beta of 2.23 and a maximum drawdown of 61.4%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: sell, at a conviction of 4 out of 10.
Top market events
- MP Materials is trailing the market in 2026.
- MP Materials is trailing the market in 2026.
- A caller inquired about starting a position in MP Materials Corp.
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 57.28
- MACD momentum is negative
- 30-day volatility of 58.5%
Medium term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 57.28
- Analyst targets imply +57.2% versus the current price
- 30-day volatility of 58.5%
Long term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Negative profit margin of -14.6%
- Analyst targets imply +57.2% versus the current price
- Negative return on equity of -3.6%
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth119.70%
Profit Margin-14.56%
P/E Ratio54.1
ROE-3.58%
ROA-1.52%
Debt/Equity41.40
P/B Ratio4.3
Op. Cash Flow$-83963000
Free Cash Flow$-432948864
Technical analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI35.6
Support$47.26
Resistance$62.47
MA 20$54.03
MA 50$50.91
MA 200$57.28
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.98
Valuation
Target Price$74.29
Upside/Downside57.20%
GradeFair
TypeGrowth
Risk assessment
Beta2.23
Volatility58.46%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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stockThis analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.