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MOTV3:BMFBOVESPAMotiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade SA Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-25 - not real-time

R$15.12

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Motiva Infraestrutura de Mobilidade S.A. trades at BRL 15.12, with its short-term moving averages sitting below the longer-term ones — a bearish trend structure. It has gained 1.0% over the past 30 days. Momentum indicators put RSI at 61.8 (approaching overbought) with MACD reading bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near BRL 13.52 and resistance around BRL 15.34.
The shares look undervalued, trading on 9.0 times earnings below a sector average of 29.6. Analyst price targets sit 23.7% above the current price. Revenue is growing at 19.9% on a 19.3% profit margin. The 1.44% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
The composite risk read is 5/10, putting it in moderate territory. With 30-day volatility of 32.9%, a beta of 0.88 and a maximum drawdown of 22.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
Near-term and long-term part ways here — hold short-term against buy longer out, with 5/10 conviction on the long call.

Top Market Events

Strong operational performance drives a 30% revenue increase to 2.ADVFN2monMotiva recebe nova oferta vinculante do Bradesco BBI para fatia do Grupo MoverSubtítulo: Movimento envolve...ADVFN1monMotiva renova conselho de administração após renúncias de executivos ligados à Votorantim e...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 15.42
  • MACD momentum is positive

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • P/E of 9.0 versus sector average of 29.6
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 15.42

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 9.0 versus sector average of 29.6
  • Analyst targets imply +23.7% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 19.3% is healthy

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth19.90%
Profit Margin19.27%
P/E Ratio9.0
ROE21.97%
ROA6.62%
Debt/Equity244.76
P/B Ratio1.7
Op. Cash FlowR$5.9B
Free Cash FlowR$-6100474368
Industry P/E29.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI61.8
SupportR$13.52
ResistanceR$15.34
MA 20R$14.38
MA 50R$14.45
MA 200R$15.42
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.84

Valuation

Fair ValueR$42.68
Target PriceR$18.70
Upside/Downside23.68%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.44%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.88
Volatility32.92%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.