MOOD:NASDAQRelative Sentiment Tactical Allocation ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-27 - not real-time
$43.22
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The Relative Sentiment Tactical Allocation ETF (MOOD) is trading at $43.22, just below its 20‑day SMA of $43.70 but still above the 50‑day SMA of $43.20, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a broader uptrend. The RSI sits at 46.6, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is flagged as bearish, adding a hint of downside pressure. However, volume is on an increasing trend and the fund’s YTD return of 14.5% outperforms many peers, supported by an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment reading of 88.55.
On the risk side, MOOD exhibits a low beta of 0.76, modest 30‑day volatility of 14.7%, and a max drawdown of just under 10%, all pointing to a relatively defensive profile. The expense ratio of 0.73% is higher than ultra‑low‑cost index funds, and the ETF’s assets under management of $142.8 M keep liquidity solid with daily volume above its 10‑day average. Tracking error is effectively zero, and there is no premium/discount, further reducing tracking risk. Overall, the fund balances a bullish market backdrop with disciplined risk characteristics.
On the risk side, MOOD exhibits a low beta of 0.76, modest 30‑day volatility of 14.7%, and a max drawdown of just under 10%, all pointing to a relatively defensive profile. The expense ratio of 0.73% is higher than ultra‑low‑cost index funds, and the ETF’s assets under management of $142.8 M keep liquidity solid with daily volume above its 10‑day average. Tracking error is effectively zero, and there is no premium/discount, further reducing tracking risk. Overall, the fund balances a bullish market backdrop with disciplined risk characteristics.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near short‑term support and just below the 20‑day SMA
- Increasing volume trend
- Neutral momentum (RSI ~46) and bearish MACD signal
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong YTD performance and 3‑year annualized return near 20%
- Low beta and moderate volatility for smoother ride
- Extreme greed market sentiment supporting tactical allocation strategies
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Diversified tactical allocation with zero tracking error
- Reasonable liquidity given assets and volume levels
- Higher expense ratio balanced by consistent returns and low drawdown
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.73%
AUM$142.8M
Inception Date2022-05-18
Avg Daily Volume29,400
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.35%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI46.6
Support$42.51
Resistance$44.82
MA 20$43.70
MA 50$43.20
MA 200$40.18
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.55
Risk Assessment
Beta0.76
Volatility14.74%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.