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MOOD:NASDAQRelative Sentiment Tactical Allocation ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-27 - not real-time

$43.22

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The Relative Sentiment Tactical Allocation ETF (MOOD) is trading at $43.22, just below its 20‑day SMA of $43.70 but still above the 50‑day SMA of $43.20, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a broader uptrend. The RSI sits at 46.6, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is negative and the signal line is flagged as bearish, adding a hint of downside pressure. However, volume is on an increasing trend and the fund’s YTD return of 14.5% outperforms many peers, supported by an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment reading of 88.55.
On the risk side, MOOD exhibits a low beta of 0.76, modest 30‑day volatility of 14.7%, and a max drawdown of just under 10%, all pointing to a relatively defensive profile. The expense ratio of 0.73% is higher than ultra‑low‑cost index funds, and the ETF’s assets under management of $142.8 M keep liquidity solid with daily volume above its 10‑day average. Tracking error is effectively zero, and there is no premium/discount, further reducing tracking risk. Overall, the fund balances a bullish market backdrop with disciplined risk characteristics.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near short‑term support and just below the 20‑day SMA
  • Increasing volume trend
  • Neutral momentum (RSI ~46) and bearish MACD signal

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong YTD performance and 3‑year annualized return near 20%
  • Low beta and moderate volatility for smoother ride
  • Extreme greed market sentiment supporting tactical allocation strategies

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified tactical allocation with zero tracking error
  • Reasonable liquidity given assets and volume levels
  • Higher expense ratio balanced by consistent returns and low drawdown

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.73%
AUM$142.8M
Inception Date2022-05-18
Avg Daily Volume29,400
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield0.35%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI46.6
Support$42.51
Resistance$44.82
MA 20$43.70
MA 50$43.20
MA 200$40.18
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.55

Risk Assessment

Beta0.76
Volatility14.74%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.