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MNST:NASDAQMonster Beverage Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time

$86.88

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Monster Beverage is trading at $86.88, comfortably above its 20‑day (81.21) and 50‑day (77.29) SMAs, indicating a strong bullish bias. The 14‑day RSI at 67.27 signals momentum but approaches overbought territory. MACD remains bullish with the line (3.03) above the signal (2.35) and a positive histogram. Technicals are supported by a solid price floor around $74.60 and a nearby resistance near $88.77, just shy of the 52‑week high. Volatility is elevated at 42% over the past 30 days, yet beta is low (~0.36), suggesting price swings are more company‑specific than market‑driven. The company posted 26.9% YoY revenue growth to $2.35 B in Q1 2026, with gross margins of 55% and operating margins above 31%, underscoring its profitability engine.
Cash generation is robust, with $2.19 B operating cash flow and $1.68 B free cash flow, while net debt is modest at $94 M. Return on equity stands at 26.7%, reflecting efficient capital use. Despite these strengths, the DCF‑derived fair value of $63.28 implies the stock is priced well above intrinsic estimates, offering only ~2% upside. The forward PE of 33.7 and a trailing PE near 42 place the stock in a premium valuation range. Recent news highlights an earnings beat, a newly authorized share‑repurchase program, and an upgrade from Rothschild & Co to “Buy.” Consequently, the momentum is positive, but limited upside tempers short‑term enthusiasm.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technicals but limited upside near resistance
  • Recent earnings beat and share‑repurchase program
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and high profitability margins
  • Robust cash flow generation and low debt
  • Analyst upgrade to Buy and continued brand expansion

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Durable brand portfolio and diversification into alcohol & hard seltzer
  • High ROE and efficient capital deployment
  • Defensive consumer positioning with low beta and solid balance sheet

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth26.90%
Profit Margin23.11%
P/E Ratio42.0
ROE26.65%
ROA17.72%
Debt/Equity1.08
P/B Ratio9.7
Op. Cash Flow$2.2B
Free Cash Flow$1.7B

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI67.3
Support$74.60
Resistance$88.77
MA 20$81.21
MA 50$77.29
MA 200$73.46
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.71

Valuation

Fair Value$63.28
Target Price$88.68
Upside/Downside2.07%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.37
Volatility42.00%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.