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MKS:LSEMarks and Spencer Group plc Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-01 - not real-time

£355.20

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Marks and Spencer is trading well below its DCF-derived fair value of £690, offering an estimated upside of around 19% versus the current price of £355. The company posted robust 27% revenue growth and a forward PE of roughly 10x, indicating earnings acceleration relative to the trailing PE of 30x. Technical signals are mixed: the price sits above the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs but just under the 200‑day SMA, the MACD is bullish, RSI is in the neutral‑high zone, and volume is on an increasing trend, suggesting potential buying interest. However, the computed trend direction remains bearish and 30‑day volatility is high at over 40%, which could pressure short‑term price action. The dividend yield of 1.18% is supported by a modest payout ratio of ~30%, indicating sustainability. Overall, the valuation appears undervalued with a blend of growth and value characteristics, making it attractive for investors with a medium to long horizon.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish trend direction despite bullish MACD
  • High short‑term volatility
  • Increasing volume indicating potential reversal

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap to DCF fair value
  • Strong revenue growth and improving earnings outlook
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term upside potential toward analyst median target of £439
  • Stable cash flow generation supporting dividend and reinvestment
  • Resilient brand positioning in the UK consumer cyclical sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth27.20%
Profit Margin1.50%
P/E Ratio29.6
ROE7.65%
ROA5.14%
Debt/Equity106.10
P/B Ratio2.6
Op. Cash Flow£1.2B
Free Cash Flow£452.2M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI57.9
Support£301.10
Resistance£364.70
MA 20£336.08
MA 50£341.72
MA 200£357.01
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.73

Valuation

Fair Value£690.10
Target Price£422.71
Upside/Downside19.01%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.18%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.27
Volatility41.36%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.