MHO:NYSEM/I Homes, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$123.89
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
M/I Homes is trading below its short‑term moving averages with a bearish MACD divergence and a neutral RSI, suggesting limited upside in the immediate horizon. The stock’s beta is modestly above one, indicating slightly higher market sensitivity, while volume trends are weakening, which may constrain short‑term price momentum. Fundamentally, the company posts a low PE and PB relative to peers, but revenue has contracted and margins remain modest, offset by a strong balance sheet highlighted in the latest earnings call.
Despite the near‑term technical softness, analysts maintain an optimistic target price well above the current level, reflecting confidence in new contract pipelines and the company’s affordable‑home strategy. The absence of a dividend underscores a focus on reinvestment rather than cash returns, and the high volatility environment combined with cyclical sector exposure warrants caution, though geographic diversification across multiple U.S. states mitigates regional risk.
Despite the near‑term technical softness, analysts maintain an optimistic target price well above the current level, reflecting confidence in new contract pipelines and the company’s affordable‑home strategy. The absence of a dividend underscores a focus on reinvestment rather than cash returns, and the high volatility environment combined with cyclical sector exposure warrants caution, though geographic diversification across multiple U.S. states mitigates regional risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD and decreasing volume
- Price below 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages
- Neutral RSI indicating limited short‑term momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Analyst target price indicating significant upside
- Strong balance sheet and record shareholders' equity
- Growth in new contract bookings and affordable‑home offerings
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Cyclical exposure in residential construction
- Modest profitability and margin headroom
- Absence of dividend and focus on reinvestment
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-5.70%
Profit Margin8.24%
P/E Ratio9.3
ROE11.60%
ROA6.49%
Debt/Equity31.69
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$208.2M
Free Cash Flow$172.8M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI43.2
Support$121.32
Resistance$138.42
MA 20$129.83
MA 50$126.54
MA 200$134.61
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.3
Valuation
Fair Value$77.61
Target Price$160.00
Upside/Downside29.15%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.07
Volatility39.19%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.