MHK:NYSEMohawk Industries, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time
$96.87
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Mohawk Industries is currently priced well beneath its long‑term valuation benchmarks, offering a sizable margin of safety. The stock sits below its short‑term moving averages and the RSI indicates neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram is in bearish territory, suggesting short‑term pressure. Recent earnings showed an earnings‑per‑share beat despite sales missing consensus, and analysts have trimmed their ratings, adding to a cautious sentiment. However, the company maintains solid operating cash flow, a strong balance sheet with ample cash relative to debt, and a forward earnings multiple that is attractive compared to peers.
The consumer‑cyclical nature of the business introduces exposure to economic cycles, yet its diversified product portfolio and global footprint provide resilience. With a DCF‑derived fair value far above the current market price, the upside potential is compelling for investors with a longer horizon, while the lack of dividend means total return will rely on price appreciation.
The consumer‑cyclical nature of the business introduces exposure to economic cycles, yet its diversified product portfolio and global footprint provide resilience. With a DCF‑derived fair value far above the current market price, the upside potential is compelling for investors with a longer horizon, while the lack of dividend means total return will rely on price appreciation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- bearish MACD signal
- decreasing volume trend
- price near immediate support level
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- substantial valuation gap to DCF fair value
- earnings beat and improving forward earnings multiple
- strong cash generation and manageable debt
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- global brand portfolio and diversified product lines
- long‑term industry tailwinds in residential and commercial construction
- significant upside potential relative to current market price
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth8.00%
Profit Margin3.77%
P/E Ratio14.5
ROE5.10%
ROA3.41%
Debt/Equity30.11
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$1.2B
Free Cash Flow$858.9M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI40.7
Support$93.60
Resistance$111.58
MA 20$102.46
MA 50$102.18
MA 200$116.38
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.5
Valuation
Fair Value$229.73
Target Price$120.47
Upside/Downside24.36%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta1.43
Volatility43.49%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.