MGYR:NASDAQMagyar Bancorp, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-17 - not real-time
$17.75
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Magyar Bancorp is trading at a valuation that is markedly below its regional banking peers, with a price‑to‑earnings multiple well under the industry average and a price‑to‑book ratio under one. The company delivers a modest dividend yield that exceeds the risk‑free rate, and its payout ratio is comfortably low, suggesting dividend sustainability. Technical indicators show a bullish MACD divergence while the 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages are tightly clustered, indicating a neutral but potentially upward‑biased price action. Volume has been on a downtrend, which may limit short‑term price momentum, yet the stock remains above its primary support level, providing a cushion against downside moves. The discounted cash flow model points to an intrinsic value substantially higher than the current market price, highlighting a sizable margin of safety for value‑oriented investors. Overall, the combination of attractive valuation, reliable dividend, and low market sensitivity paints a favorable risk‑adjusted profile.
The bank’s exposure is geographically concentrated in a single state, limiting broader macro‑economic risk but amplifying local economic dependency. Its beta is low, reflecting limited volatility relative to the broader market, while recent 30‑day price swings are moderate, aligning with typical regional bank behavior. Regulatory headwinds are present but not extraordinary for a well‑capitalized community bank. Liquidity concerns arise from thin trading volumes, which could affect execution for larger orders. Given these dynamics, the stock appears positioned for a potential re‑rating by the market, especially if earnings growth sustains its current trajectory.
The bank’s exposure is geographically concentrated in a single state, limiting broader macro‑economic risk but amplifying local economic dependency. Its beta is low, reflecting limited volatility relative to the broader market, while recent 30‑day price swings are moderate, aligning with typical regional bank behavior. Regulatory headwinds are present but not extraordinary for a well‑capitalized community bank. Liquidity concerns arise from thin trading volumes, which could affect execution for larger orders. Given these dynamics, the stock appears positioned for a potential re‑rating by the market, especially if earnings growth sustains its current trajectory.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Neutral technical trend with bullish MACD
- Thin trading volume limiting upside
- Support level intact
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation gap to DCF fair value
- Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
- Low beta indicating defensive characteristics
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Consistent profitability and solid operating margins
- Stable cash generation supporting dividend
- Undervalued relative to peers offering upside potential
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth16.10%
Profit Margin29.59%
P/E Ratio10.3
ROE9.26%
ROA1.05%
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$11.2M
Industry P/E17.5
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI54.3
Support$16.03
Resistance$18.00
MA 20$17.37
MA 50$17.64
MA 200$17.26
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.39
Valuation
Fair Value$29.26
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield2.25%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.32
Volatility32.94%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.