MGR:ASXMirvac Group Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-12 - not real-time
A$1.77
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The moving-average structure behind Mirvac Group is neutral at AUD 1.77, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. The last 30 days have gained 3.5%. Relative strength is 51.6 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bullish. Watch AUD 1.68 as support and AUD 1.84 as the nearer resistance level.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 17.7 times earnings against the sector's 32.3. Sell-side targets cluster 16.2% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 21.7% on a 13.2% profit margin. The 5.42% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk scores 5 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 20.8%, a beta of 0.13 and a maximum drawdown of 33.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: buy, at a conviction of 8 out of 10.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 17.7 times earnings against the sector's 32.3. Sell-side targets cluster 16.2% above the current quote. Revenue is growing at 21.7% on a 13.2% profit margin. The 5.42% dividend yield looks stretched against payout coverage.
Risk scores 5 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 20.8%, a beta of 0.13 and a maximum drawdown of 33.6%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
Across every horizon the signals point the same way: buy, at a conviction of 8 out of 10.
Top Market Events
Mirvac Group ASX: MGR declares a 4.8 cent per stapled security distribution for June 2026. Key payment dates, DRP...Mirvac Group announces a 4.8 cent per security distribution to be paid in August 2026. The post Mirvac Group announces...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 1.90
- MACD momentum is positive
- Maximum drawdown of 33.6%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 17.7 versus sector average of 32.3
- Dividend yield of 5.42% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Trading below the 200-day average of 1.90
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 17.7 versus sector average of 32.3
- Dividend yield of 5.42% looks stretched against payout coverage
- Analyst targets imply +16.2% versus the current price
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO10.761436893682589
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI51.6
SupportA$1.68
ResistanceA$1.84
MA 20A$1.77
MA 50A$1.74
MA 200A$1.90
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index95.45
Risk Assessment
Beta0.13
Volatility20.75%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.