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MGNX:NASDAQMacroGenics, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-17 - not real-time

$3.41

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

MacroGenics (MGNX) is trading at $3.41, comfortably above the computed support of $2.71 and below the resistance of $3.88, with the 20‑day SMA ($3.16) sitting above both the 50‑day ($2.56) and 200‑day ($1.86) averages, indicating a bullish trend. Technical momentum remains positive as the RSI is 61.8, well above the neutral 50, while the MACD histogram is marginally negative, suggesting a short‑term caution but no immediate reversal. Volume is on an increasing trend, supporting the price advance, though the beta of 1.79 and 30‑day volatility of 132% signal heightened price swings. Fundamentally, the company is loss‑making with a trailing EPS of –$1.18, negative gross (‑22.5%) and operating margins (‑29.3%), and a forward PE of –2.55, yet it holds $190 M in cash against $36.8 M of debt, providing a solid liquidity cushion for its clinical programs. The pipeline—particularly the lorigerlimab trial slated for a mid‑2026 update and multiple ADC candidates—offers upside potential, reflected in analyst targets averaging $4.0–$4.8 and a “Buy” consensus. However, recent regulatory setbacks and the high‑risk biotech sector temper optimism, making the stock’s upside contingent on successful trial readouts and regulatory approvals.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above support with bullish SMA alignment
  • Slight bearish MACD signal
  • Increasing volume but high volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Upcoming mid‑2026 lorigerlimab data release
  • Strong cash position relative to debt
  • Analyst price targets above current market

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High regulatory and sector risk inherent to biotech
  • Potential upside from multiple ADC pipelines
  • Sustained negative earnings and margins

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth113.00%
Profit Margin-49.91%
P/E Ratio-2.6
ROE-86.94%
ROA-17.56%
Debt/Equity66.13
P/B Ratio3.9
Op. Cash Flow$-81040000
Free Cash Flow$-58232124
Industry P/E25.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI61.8
Support$2.71
Resistance$3.88
MA 20$3.16
MA 50$2.56
MA 200$1.86
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.39

Valuation

Target Price$4.80
Upside/Downside40.76%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.79
Volatility131.73%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.