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MGEE:NASDAQMGE Energy Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-08-22 - not real-time

$78.66

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

At $78.66, MGE Energy, Inc. shows a bullish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages sitting above longer ones. The last 30 days have lost 3.8%. RSI sits at 38.6, which reads as approaching oversold, and MACD momentum is bearish. Watch $78.00 as support and $83.72 as the nearer resistance level.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 19.3 times earnings against the sector's 19.5. The 2.41% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 17.0%, a beta of -0.04 and a maximum drawdown of 17.4%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 94 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 3/10 conviction.

Top Market Events

MADISON, Wis. AP — MADISON, Wis. AP — MGE Energy Inc. MGEE on Wednesday reported net income of $33.4 million in its...The market shrugged off MGE Energy, Inc.'s NASDAQ:MGEE solid earnings report. We think that investors might be...Seeking Alpha1monMGE Energy: Quality Utility, But The Entry Point Has ClosedMGE Energy is a high-quality regulated...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 79.26
  • MACD momentum is negative

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
  • P/E of 19.3 versus sector average of 19.5
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 79.26

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 19.3 versus sector average of 19.5
  • Profit margin of 19.9% is healthy
  • Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.10%
Profit Margin19.90%
P/E Ratio19.3
ROE11.04%
ROA3.72%
Debt/Equity64.86
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow$278.1M
Free Cash Flow$-206614256
Industry P/E19.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI38.6
Support$78.00
Resistance$83.72
MA 20$80.68
MA 50$80.39
MA 200$79.26
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.41

Valuation

Fair Value$44.87
Target Price$77.75
Upside/Downside-1.16%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.41%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.04
Volatility17.04%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.