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MGEE:NASDAQMGE Energy Inc. analysis

Data as of Sep 27, 2026 - not real-time

Latest price
$70.06
Risk: medium
4/10Medium risk

Summary

At $70.06, MGE Energy, Inc. shows a bearish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages beneath longer ones. The last 30 days have lost 13.5%. RSI sits at 24.4, which reads as oversold, and MACD momentum is bearish. Watch $68.01 as support and $79.19 as the nearer resistance level.
Multiples put this in fair territory: 17.2 times earnings against the sector's 17.8. Analyst price targets sit 9.6% above the current price. The 2.90% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk scores 4 out of 10, which is moderate for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 17.8%, a beta of -0.06 and a maximum drawdown of 21.3%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
This one splits by horizon — sell in the near term, hold further out, at 2/10 long-term conviction.

Top market events

  • The latest company information, including net asset values, performance, holding & sectors weighting, changes in voting...
  • Business Wire1monMGE Energy Increases Dividend for 51st Consecutive YearMADISON, Wis.
  • Nasdaq1monMGE Energy Reports Second-Quarter 2026 EarningsThis press release contains forward-looking statements within...

Market outlook

Short term

< 1 year

Cautious

Model confidence5/105 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • RSI at 24.4 signals oversold conditions
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 78.52

Medium term

1–3 years

Neutral

Model confidence3/103 out of 10

Key factors

  • Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
  • RSI at 24.4 signals oversold conditions
  • P/E of 17.2 versus sector average of 17.8

Long term

> 3 years

Neutral

Model confidence2/102 out of 10

Key factors

  • P/E of 17.2 versus sector average of 17.8
  • Analyst targets imply +9.6% versus the current price
  • Profit margin of 19.9% is healthy

Key metrics

Financial health

Revenue Growth1.10%
Profit Margin19.90%
P/E Ratio17.2
ROE11.04%
ROA3.72%
Debt/Equity64.86
P/B Ratio1.8
Op. Cash Flow$278.1M
Free Cash Flow$-206614256
Industry P/E17.8

Technical analysis

TrendBearish
RSI24.4
Support$68.01
Resistance$79.19
MA 20$75.18
MA 50$78.49
MA 200$78.52
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.88

Valuation

Fair Value$40.53
Target Price$76.80
Upside/Downside9.62%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.90%

Risk assessment

Beta-0.06
Volatility17.77%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.