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MG:NYSEMistras Group Inc Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-17 - not real-time

$17.19

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Mistras Group (MG) is trading at $17.19, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA ($15.56) and 50‑day SMA ($15.05) while still below the 200‑day SMA ($11.76), indicating a sustained bullish trend. The MACD histogram remains positive (0.20) and the signal line is bullish, but the RSI sits at 73, suggesting the stock is approaching overbought territory. Technical support at $13.65 and resistance near $17.58 frame the price, leaving only modest upside (~5%).
Fundamentally, MG posted 5.1% revenue growth to $724 M, with improving gross (31%) and operating margins (10.8%). Forward earnings are projected at $1.22, yielding a forward PE of 14.1 versus a trailing PE of 32.4, which together with a Zacks “Strong Buy” and a target price of $18 imply the stock may be fairly valued or slightly undervalued. The balance sheet shows a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (≈103%) and modest free cash flow, tempering enthusiasm, while the company’s global exposure and recent gains in aerospace & defense provide a diversified growth engine.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI in overbought zone
  • Price near resistance at $17.58
  • Decreasing volume trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Forward PE of 14.1 indicating upside potential
  • Robust revenue growth and improved margins
  • Strategic wins in aerospace and defense

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained demand for asset integrity services across industries
  • Diversified geographic footprint reducing single‑region exposure
  • Long‑term contracts and recurring revenue streams

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.10%
Profit Margin2.33%
P/E Ratio32.4
ROE7.79%
ROA6.04%
Debt/Equity102.96
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow$33.0M
Free Cash Flow$6.6M
Industry P/E30.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI73.4
Support$13.65
Resistance$17.58
MA 20$15.56
MA 50$15.05
MA 200$11.76
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.39

Valuation

Target Price$18.00
Upside/Downside4.71%
GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.08
Volatility38.87%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.