MG:NYSEMistras Group Inc Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-17 - not real-time
$17.19
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Mistras Group (MG) is trading at $17.19, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA ($15.56) and 50‑day SMA ($15.05) while still below the 200‑day SMA ($11.76), indicating a sustained bullish trend. The MACD histogram remains positive (0.20) and the signal line is bullish, but the RSI sits at 73, suggesting the stock is approaching overbought territory. Technical support at $13.65 and resistance near $17.58 frame the price, leaving only modest upside (~5%).
Fundamentally, MG posted 5.1% revenue growth to $724 M, with improving gross (31%) and operating margins (10.8%). Forward earnings are projected at $1.22, yielding a forward PE of 14.1 versus a trailing PE of 32.4, which together with a Zacks “Strong Buy” and a target price of $18 imply the stock may be fairly valued or slightly undervalued. The balance sheet shows a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (≈103%) and modest free cash flow, tempering enthusiasm, while the company’s global exposure and recent gains in aerospace & defense provide a diversified growth engine.
Fundamentally, MG posted 5.1% revenue growth to $724 M, with improving gross (31%) and operating margins (10.8%). Forward earnings are projected at $1.22, yielding a forward PE of 14.1 versus a trailing PE of 32.4, which together with a Zacks “Strong Buy” and a target price of $18 imply the stock may be fairly valued or slightly undervalued. The balance sheet shows a high debt‑to‑equity ratio (≈103%) and modest free cash flow, tempering enthusiasm, while the company’s global exposure and recent gains in aerospace & defense provide a diversified growth engine.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- RSI in overbought zone
- Price near resistance at $17.58
- Decreasing volume trend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Forward PE of 14.1 indicating upside potential
- Robust revenue growth and improved margins
- Strategic wins in aerospace and defense
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustained demand for asset integrity services across industries
- Diversified geographic footprint reducing single‑region exposure
- Long‑term contracts and recurring revenue streams
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.10%
Profit Margin2.33%
P/E Ratio32.4
ROE7.79%
ROA6.04%
Debt/Equity102.96
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow$33.0M
Free Cash Flow$6.6M
Industry P/E30.7
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI73.4
Support$13.65
Resistance$17.58
MA 20$15.56
MA 50$15.05
MA 200$11.76
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.39
Valuation
Target Price$18.00
Upside/Downside4.71%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.08
Volatility38.87%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.